Bahia vs Grêmio: match stats
Bahia vs Grêmio: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Bahia vs Grêmio sa Serie A (Brazil). Naka-schedule ang match sa 17 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bahia: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Grêmio: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.
Goal statistics
Bahia scores 1.47 at concedes 1.26 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.11 at concedes 1.32. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahia 68%, Grêmio 58%. Over 2.5: Bahia 53%, Grêmio 42%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots at playing style
Bahia ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.62 vs 1.23. Bahia averages 14.5 shots per match, habang Grêmio ay 11.2.
First at second half
Bahia leads at half-time sa 37% ng matches at scores 0.74 goals after the break. Grêmio: 16% at 0.68.
Goals by minute
Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58% at Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-1. Average goals: 2.50, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Bahia has clear advantage sa chance creation: sa home average nila 1.57 goals per match at xG 1.60, with 14.14 shots per game and 5.71 on target, samantalang Grêmio away apenas 0.5 goals per match at xG 0.96 with 8.75 shots and 2.25 on target. Además, Bahia sa home never finished a match without scoring (0% matches without a goal), habang Grêmio away fails to score in 50% of matches at may 0% away wins, kaya favor ang hosts. On the flip side, Bahia has serious form issues: 0 wins in last 5 matches, averaging only 0.4 points per match at conceded 11 goals in those five games (2.2 goals per match), which raises upset risk. Grêmio in the last 5 overall has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss with 1.6 points per match and conceded only 1 goal in that period, suggesting defensive improvement. Considering Bahia’s edge in xG (1.60 vs 0.96), in shots on target (5.71 vs 2.25) and in home goals average (1.57 vs 0.5 away), despite recent problems I give higher probability to the home win: 60% Bahia, 25% draw, 15% Grêmio.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahia is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bahia · 0.8 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Bahia · 1.11 goals / match - Grêmio
Bahia is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Bahia · 1.32 goals / match - Grêmio
Bahia scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahia
Over / Under — Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Bahia · 1.05 pts / match - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Bahia
Grêmio
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 77% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bahia 1 - 0 - 1 Grêmio. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Bahia vs Grêmio?
Natapos ang Serie A match sa score na Bahia 1:1 Grêmio. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Bahia at Grêmio?
Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Bahia ng 1, ang Grêmio ng 1, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 2.50; BTTS: 0%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Bahia vs Grêmio?
Bahia scores 1.47 goals per match at Grêmio 1.11. Ang Serie A average ay 2.64 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 50% ng matches. BTTS: Bahia 68%, Grêmio 58%.
Ano ang current form ng Bahia at Grêmio?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Bahia ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Grêmio ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Bahia vs Grêmio?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.