Portugal - Liga NOSUpdated ang data noong September 11, 2026

CD Nacional vs AVS: mga stats ng match

CD Nacional crest
CD Nacional
1 : 2half-time 1:1
AVS crest
AVS

CD Nacional vs AVS: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang CD Nacional laban sa AVS sa Liga NOS (Portugal). Nilaro ang match noong 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Current na form

CD Nacional: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. AVS: 0-4-1 at 0.80 points per match.

Stats ng goals

CD Nacional ay may 1.10 goals na na-score at 1.32 na na-concede bawat match. Ang AVS naman ay may 0.71 na na-score at 2.10 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CD Nacional 48%, AVS 42%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 42%, AVS 58%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

CD Nacional ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.36 vs 1.17. May average na 12.4 shots bawat match ang CD Nacional, habang 11.0 naman ang AVS.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang CD Nacional sa half-time sa 26% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.65 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa AVS, 6% at 0.45 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

CD Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). AVS: 76-90+ (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Liga Portugal: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 47% at Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-1-0, average goals 4.00, at BTTS 100%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CD Nacional ang clear favorite: they’re 14th sa table habang AVS 18th, at away win count ng visitors is 0 with only 1 win all season. Sa home Nacional averages 1.33 goals per match, 4.13 shots on target at ~11% shot conversion; AVS away lang 0.67 goals, 2.6 SOT at 6% conversion — guests fail to score in 60% of away matches kumpara sa 33% ng hosts. Defensively hosts have clear edge: Nacional concedes 1.4 goals at home with average xG against 1.62, while AVS concedes 2.6 away with xG against 1.81; sa last 5 matches hosts conceded 3 goals, guests 7. Additionally Nacional has 3 wins in last 5 and averages 1.8 points per match in that period, habang AVS winless and averages 0.8 PPM, confirming better home form. Considering higher SOT, better home xG (1.35 vs 1.1) and weaker AVS defense, my pick is CD Nacional to win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Stats ng match

68Possession (%)32
CD NacionalAVS
25Shots19
CD NacionalAVS
6Shots on target3
CD NacionalAVS
2.45xG1.63
CD NacionalAVS
8Corners6
CD NacionalAVS
63Dangerous attacks31
CD NacionalAVS
8Fouls14
CD NacionalAVS
4Cards2
CD NacionalAVS

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1Points bawat matchPPG - points per match.0.45
CD NacionalAVS
1.1Goals na na-score / match0.71
CD NacionalAVS
1.32Goals na na-concede / match2.1
CD NacionalAVS
1.36xG forxG - expected goals o quality ng scoring chances.1.17
CD NacionalAVS
45%Average na possession40%
CD NacionalAVS
4.29Shots on target bawat match3.06
CD NacionalAVS
23%Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.13%
CD NacionalAVS
48%Parehong teams naka-scoreBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.42%
CD NacionalAVS

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

12.45Shots bawat match10.97
CD NacionalAVS
4.29Shots on target3.06
CD NacionalAVS
8.8%Shot conversion6.5%
CD NacionalAVS
45%Possession40%
CD NacionalAVS
1.36xG for1.17
CD NacionalAVS
1.59xG against1.71
CD NacionalAVS

Quality ng shooting

CD Nacional: Balanced ang styleAVS: Balanced ang style
CD NacionalAVS
Accuracy ng shots on target34%28%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.260.23

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

CD Nacional ang 125% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1.8 pts / match - CD Nacional · 0.8 pts / match - AVS

CD Nacional
LWLWW
Result split ngayong season
26% W23% D52% L
Season record (W-D-L)
8-7-16
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
5-2-8
Last 5 sa home
2-0-3
LLLWW
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.0Goals na na-concede: 0.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
AVS
DLDDD
Walang win sa last 5 matches
Result split ngayong season
3% W35% D61% L
Season record (W-D-L)
1-11-19
0.45 pts / match · goal difference -43
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
0-5-10
Last 5 sa away
0-3-2
LDDLD
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 0.8Goals na na-concede: 1.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

CD Nacional ang 55% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - CD Nacional · 0.71 goals / match - AVS

CD Nacional ang 59% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - CD Nacional · 2.1 goals / match - AVS

Scoring profile ng CD Nacional: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang CD Nacional sa 68% ng matches (21 sa 31 matches), habang may clean sheet ang AVS sa 13% (4 sa 31 matches).

Scoring profile ng AVS: mixed

Nakaka-score ang AVS sa 45% ng matches (14 sa 31 matches), habang may clean sheet ang CD Nacional sa 23% (7 sa 31 matches).

34Goals na na-score (season)22
CD NacionalAVS
41Goals na na-concede (season)65
CD NacionalAVS
2.42Average ng goals sa match2.81
CD NacionalAVS
5Goals na na-score (last 5)4
CD NacionalAVS
3Goals na na-concede (last 5)7
CD NacionalAVS
CD Nacional
23%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.7 sa 31 matches
32%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.10 sa 31 matches
AVS
13%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.4 sa 31 matches
55%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.17 sa 31 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

68%1 goal45%
CD NacionalAVS
26%2 goals19%
CD NacionalAVS
13%3 goals6%
CD NacionalAVS
3%4 goals0%
CD NacionalAVS

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

77%1 goal87%
CD NacionalAVS
42%2 goals68%
CD NacionalAVS
10%3 goals39%
CD NacionalAVS
3%4 goals10%
CD NacionalAVS

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

48%
CD Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.15 sa 31 matches
42%
AVS - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.13 sa 31 matches
47%
Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

10%BTTS sa half-time16%
CD NacionalAVS
6%BTTS sa parehong halves6%
CD NacionalAVS
13%Naka-score sa parehong halves6%
CD NacionalAVS

BTTS at goal count

35%Min. 3 goals at BTTS32%
CD NacionalAVS
6%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS26%
CD NacionalAVS
0%BTTS - last 560%
CD NacionalAVS

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.90%
CD NacionalAVS
71%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.81%
CD NacionalAVS
42%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.58%
CD NacionalAVS
19%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.39%
CD NacionalAVS
10%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.6%
CD NacionalAVS

Over / Under - CD Nacional

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 71%Under 29%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 42%Under 58%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 19%Under 81%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 10%Under 90%

Over / Under - AVS

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 90%Under 10%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 81%Under 19%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 58%Under 42%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 39%Under 61%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 6%Under 94%

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time68%
CD NacionalAVS
26%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time42%
CD NacionalAVS
3%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time16%
CD NacionalAVS

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time77%
CD NacionalAVS
39%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time52%
CD NacionalAVS
29%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time16%
CD NacionalAVS

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

CD Nacional ang 89% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - CD Nacional · 0.65 pts / match - AVS

CD Nacional - state sa half-time
26% nangunguna45% tabla29% nahuhuli
AVS - state sa half-time
6% nangunguna45% tabla48% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.23Points bawat match (1st half)0.65
CD NacionalAVS
0.45Goals na na-score (1st half)0.26
CD NacionalAVS
0.52Goals na na-concede (1st half)1
CD NacionalAVS
0.97Average ng goals (1st half)1.26
CD NacionalAVS
61%Clean sheet bago ang half-time35%
CD NacionalAVS
65%Walang goal bago ang half-time81%
CD NacionalAVS

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points bawat match (2nd half)0.68
CD NacionalAVS
0.65Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.45
CD NacionalAVS
0.81Goals na na-concede (2nd half)1.1
CD NacionalAVS
1.45Average ng goals (2nd half)1.55
CD NacionalAVS
48%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time29%
CD NacionalAVS
55%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time68%
CD NacionalAVS

CD Nacional - mga result sa second half

26% W35% D39% L
38
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference sa 1st half
35
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.23
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding100%

Leading sa half-time sa 26% ng matches at nananalo sa 26%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Nagko-concede ng 0.3 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

AVS - mga result sa second half

10% W39% D52% L
20
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-23
Goal difference sa 1st half
21
Second-half points
-20
Goal difference sa 2nd half
0.65
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding50%

Leading sa half-time sa 6% ng matches at nananalo sa 3%. Minsan nawawala ang lead pagkatapos ng half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Nagko-concede ng 0.1 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

CD Nacional - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.601.60
Goals na na-score / match0.60.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.40.2
Average ng goals sa match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 40% panalo - 40% tabla - 20% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 3
AVS - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match0.800.80
Goals na na-score / match0.40.4
Goals na na-concede / match0.80.6
Average ng goals sa match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% nangunguna - 80% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 0% panalo - 80% tabla - 20% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 40% - Total goals sa half-time: 2

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

CD Nacional
Na-scoreNa-concede
3
8
0-15
4
1
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
7
7
61-75
7
11
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (11). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -4 - mahina sa late phases.

AVS
Na-scoreNa-concede
1
10
0-15
2
10
16-30
5
11
31-45
3
13
46-60
5
12
61-75
6
9
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 46-60 (13). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -3 - mahina sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.62
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
97%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
45%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
+53%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
18%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 6 matches
0-1
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

CD Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.23
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.01
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-6.9 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.26
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.27
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
111%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.80
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.2
Mga late goal
21% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 9% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
21%

AVS

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.54
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.85
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+4.4 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.46
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.39
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
141%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
+0.35
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.2
Mga late goal
27% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 5% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
27%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Liga Portugal.

Teams kumpara sa liga

CD NacionalLigaAVS
Average ng goals sa match▼ 2.422.69▲ 2.81
Parehong teams naka-score• 48%47%▼ 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%54%▲ 58%
Clean sheets▼ 23%29%▼ 13%
Goal bago ang half-time▼ 65%70%▼ 68%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time▼ 71%79%▼ 77%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.69
Average goals bawat match
47%
Parehong teams naka-score
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals bawat match
1.19
Away goals bawat match
+25%
Advantage ng home attack
+20%
Advantage ng home defence
+8%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
70%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Away team

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. CD NacionalGoalFilipe Miguel Barros Soares
  2. AVSGoalPedro Lima BarrosAssist: Babatunde Akinsola
  3. CD NacionalYellow cardGabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza
  4. AVSYellow cardPaulo Vitor Leal Sousa Lima
  5. CD NacionalSubstitutionPumasok: Igor Matheus Liziero PereiraLumabas: Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza
  6. CD NacionalYellow cardChiheb Abidi
  7. CD NacionalYellow cardJosé Vitor Lima Cardoso
  8. AVSGoalGuilherme Neiva SilvaAssist: Diego Ariel Duarte Garcete
  9. AVSSubstitutionPumasok: Carlos dos Santos RodriguesLumabas: Tiago Galletto López
  10. AVSSubstitutionPumasok: António Manuel Fernandes MendesLumabas: Guilherme Neiva Silva
  11. AVSSubstitutionPumasok: Guillem Molina GutiérrezLumabas: Babatunde Akinsola
  12. AVSYellow cardAdriel Vasconcelos Ramos
  13. CD NacionalYellow cardJosé Vitor Lima Cardoso

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeMárcio André Dias TorresHome coachTiago Miguel Carvalho MargaridoAway coachJoão Alexandre Oliveira Nunes Henriques

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Márcio André Dias TorresMatches officiated: 9
3.78Cards kada match
0Penalties kada match
1 / X / 233%Home wins44%Draws22%Away wins

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: CD Nacional 0 - 1 - 0 AVS. Average ng goals 4.00, both teams scored sa 100% matches.

AVS Futebol
2 : 2
CD Nacional Funchal

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng CD Nacional vs AVS?

Natapos ang Liga NOS match sa score na CD Nacional 1:2 AVS. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang CD Nacional vs AVS?

CD Nacional scores 1.10 goals per match at AVS 0.71. Ang Liga NOS average ay 2.69 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 54% ng matches. BTTS: CD Nacional 48%, AVS 42%.

Ano ang current form ng CD Nacional at AVS?

Sa last 5 matches, ang CD Nacional ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang AVS ay 0-4-1 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng CD Nacional vs AVS?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.