Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town: match stats
Ang Connah's Quay ay may impressive na home form na may 64% wins at 18% losses lang sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay nag-a-average ng 2.55 goals per match sa home, habang mine-maintain ang possession advantage na 59%. Ang Caernarfon Town, kahit may solid away form (42% wins), ay may high percentage ng draws (42%), na nag-iindicate ng hirap sa pag-break down ng rivals sa away. Ang key factor ay ang difference sa offensive efficiency – ang hosts ay may higher average xG (2.08 vs 1.47) at better shot conversion (17% vs 14%). Ang recent form ng both teams (Connah's Quay: 2.2 pts/match vs Caernarfon: 1.6 pts/match) ay pabor din sa hosts. Considering all statistics, inaasahan ko ang victory ng Connah's Quay, though ang solid defense ng visitors (1.17 goals conceded away) ay pwedeng magresulta sa tight match na may possibility ng draw.
Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town sa Welsh Premier League (Wales). Naka-schedule ang match sa 6 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Connah's Quay: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Caernarfon Town: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Connah's Quay scores 1.91 at concedes 1.19 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 1.75 at concedes 1.47. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connah's Quay 69%, Caernarfon Town 63%. Over 2.5: Connah's Quay 69%, Caernarfon Town 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots at playing style
Connah's Quay ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.74 vs 1.52. Connah's Quay averages 12.8 shots per match, habang Caernarfon Town ay 12.4.
First at second half
Connah's Quay leads at half-time sa 41% ng matches at scores 1.09 goals after the break. Caernarfon Town: 25% at 1.16.
Goals by minute
Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (15 goals). Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50% at Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 4.33, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Ang Connah's Quay ay may impressive na home form na may 64% wins at 18% losses lang sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay nag-a-average ng 2.55 goals per match sa home, habang mine-maintain ang possession advantage na 59%. Ang Caernarfon Town, kahit may solid away form (42% wins), ay may high percentage ng draws (42%), na nag-iindicate ng hirap sa pag-break down ng rivals sa away. Ang key factor ay ang difference sa offensive efficiency – ang hosts ay may higher average xG (2.08 vs 1.47) at better shot conversion (17% vs 14%). Ang recent form ng both teams (Connah's Quay: 2.2 pts/match vs Caernarfon: 1.6 pts/match) ay pabor din sa hosts. Considering all statistics, inaasahan ko ang victory ng Connah's Quay, though ang solid defense ng visitors (1.17 goals conceded away) ay pwedeng magresulta sa tight match na may possibility ng draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.2 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.75 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Connah's Quay is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.47 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Connah's Quay scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Connah's Quay
Over / Under — Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.13 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Connah's Quay
Caernarfon Town
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Connah's Quay 1 - 1 - 1 Caernarfon Town. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Natapos ang Welsh Premier League match sa score na Connah's Quay 1:1 Caernarfon Town. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Connah's Quay at Caernarfon Town?
Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Connah's Quay ng 1, ang Caernarfon Town ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 4.33; BTTS: 100%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Connah's Quay scores 1.91 goals per match at Caernarfon Town 1.75. Ang Welsh Premier League average ay 2.87 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Connah's Quay 69%, Caernarfon Town 63%.
Ano ang current form ng Connah's Quay at Caernarfon Town?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Connah's Quay ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Caernarfon Town ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.