Brazil - Serie AData updated noong July 23, 2026

Grêmio vs Botafogo: match stats

Grêmio crest
Grêmio
5 : 3half-time 1:2
Botafogo crest
Botafogo
125%(2.35)
X25%(3.18)
250%(2.91)

Ang Botafogo ay nasa first place ng league table na may perfect points this season (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses), proof ng kanilang excellent form. Ang guests ay naka-score ng 4 goals without conceding any, showing solid defense. Ang Grêmio ay nasa 16th position na may one loss at goal difference na 1:2, indicating a weaker start sa season para sa hosts. Ang form sa last 5 matches ay pabor din sa Botafogo (1.8 points per match) compared sa Grêmio (1.4 points per match). Taking into account ang table position, goal difference, at form ng both teams, ang Botafogo ay may clear advantage at sila ang favorite sa match na ito. Ang predicted result ay victory for the guests, though ang Grêmio playing at home ay pwedeng mag-resist, kaya may probability pa rin para sa draw o surprise mula sa hosts.

Grêmio vs Botafogo: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Grêmio vs Botafogo sa Serie A (Brazil). Naka-schedule ang match sa 5 February 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 5:3.

Current form

Grêmio: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Botafogo: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Grêmio scores 1.11 at concedes 1.32 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.83 at concedes 1.78. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grêmio 58%, Botafogo 83%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 42%, Botafogo 83%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots at playing style

Botafogo ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.43 vs 1.23. Grêmio averages 11.2 shots per match, habang Botafogo ay 12.6.

First at second half

Grêmio leads at half-time sa 16% ng matches at scores 0.68 goals after the break. Botafogo: 39% at 1.06.

Goals by minute

Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58% at Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-1. Average goals: 3.50, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Ang Botafogo ay nasa first place ng league table na may perfect points this season (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses), proof ng kanilang excellent form. Ang guests ay naka-score ng 4 goals without conceding any, showing solid defense. Ang Grêmio ay nasa 16th position na may one loss at goal difference na 1:2, indicating a weaker start sa season para sa hosts. Ang form sa last 5 matches ay pabor din sa Botafogo (1.8 points per match) compared sa Grêmio (1.4 points per match). Taking into account ang table position, goal difference, at form ng both teams, ang Botafogo ay may clear advantage at sila ang favorite sa match na ito. Ang predicted result ay victory for the guests, though ang Grêmio playing at home ay pwedeng mag-resist, kaya may probability pa rin para sa draw o surprise mula sa hosts.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
4 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
GrêmioBotafogo
14Shots9
GrêmioBotafogo
8Shots on target4
GrêmioBotafogo
1.65xG0.98
GrêmioBotafogo
4Corners2
GrêmioBotafogo
29Dangerous attacks17
GrêmioBotafogo
13Fouls14
GrêmioBotafogo
0Cards3
GrêmioBotafogo

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match1.83
GrêmioBotafogo
1.32Goals conceded / match1.78
GrêmioBotafogo
50%Average possession48%
GrêmioBotafogo
3.58Shots on target / match5.11
GrêmioBotafogo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.21Shots per match12.61
GrêmioBotafogo
3.58Shots on target5.11
GrêmioBotafogo
9.9%Shot conversion14.5%
GrêmioBotafogo
50%Possession48%
GrêmioBotafogo
1.23xG for1.43
GrêmioBotafogo
1.52xG against1.76
GrêmioBotafogo

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedBotafogo: Efficient finishing
GrêmioBotafogo
Accuracy (shots on target)32%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Botafogo is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.6 pts / match - Botafogo

Grêmio
LDWLL
Season result split
26% W32% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-8
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Botafogo
DWDLW
Season result split
39% W22% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-7
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 65% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.83 goals / match - Botafogo

Grêmio is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.78 goals / match - Botafogo

Scoring profile ng Grêmio: napakalakas

Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

Scoring profile ng Botafogo: napakalakas

Botafogo scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

21Goals scored (season)33
GrêmioBotafogo
25Goals conceded (season)32
GrêmioBotafogo
2.42Average goals in match3.61
GrêmioBotafogo
6Goals scored (last 5)8
GrêmioBotafogo
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
GrêmioBotafogo

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal89%
GrêmioBotafogo
21%2 goals56%
GrêmioBotafogo
11%3 goals28%
GrêmioBotafogo
5%4 goals11%
GrêmioBotafogo

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal94%
GrêmioBotafogo
47%2 goals50%
GrêmioBotafogo
11%3 goals17%
GrêmioBotafogo
0%4 goals11%
GrêmioBotafogo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time33%
GrêmioBotafogo
11%BTTS in both halves11%
GrêmioBotafogo
16%Scored in both halves33%
GrêmioBotafogo

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS72%
GrêmioBotafogo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
GrêmioBotafogo
80%BTTS - last 5100%
GrêmioBotafogo

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
GrêmioBotafogo
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
GrêmioBotafogo
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
GrêmioBotafogo

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
GrêmioBotafogo
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
GrêmioBotafogo
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
GrêmioBotafogo

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.44 pts / match - Botafogo

Grêmio - half-time state
16% leading58% draw26% trailing
Botafogo - half-time state
39% leading28% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per match (1st half)1.44
GrêmioBotafogo
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.78
GrêmioBotafogo
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
GrêmioBotafogo
1Average goals (1st half)1.5
GrêmioBotafogo
58%Clean sheet before half-time39%
GrêmioBotafogo
58%No goal before half-time50%
GrêmioBotafogo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.56
GrêmioBotafogo
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
GrêmioBotafogo
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
GrêmioBotafogo
1.42Average goals (2nd half)2.11
GrêmioBotafogo
42%Clean sheet after half-time33%
GrêmioBotafogo
58%No goal after half-time28%
GrêmioBotafogo

Grêmio - second-half results

26% W42% R32% P
20
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botafogo - second-half results

44% W22% R33% P
26
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grêmio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
6
31-45
7
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
4
10
46-60
5
3
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.02
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaBotafogo
Average goals in match 2.422.64 3.61
Both teams scored 58%58% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%50% 83%
Clean sheets 26%23% 6%
Goal before half-time 58%77% 78%
Goal after half-time 68%78% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Grêmio 0 - 1 - 1 Botafogo. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Botafogo FR
3 : 2
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
1 : 1
Botafogo FR

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Grêmio vs Botafogo?

Natapos ang Serie A match sa score na Grêmio 5:3 Botafogo. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Grêmio at Botafogo?

Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Grêmio ng 0, ang Botafogo ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 3.50; BTTS: 100%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Grêmio vs Botafogo?

Grêmio scores 1.11 goals per match at Botafogo 1.83. Ang Serie A average ay 2.64 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 50% ng matches. BTTS: Grêmio 58%, Botafogo 83%.

Ano ang current form ng Grêmio at Botafogo?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Grêmio ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Botafogo ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Grêmio vs Botafogo?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.