Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05: match stats
Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 sa Bundesliga (Germany). Naka-schedule ang match sa 4 April 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Hoffenheim: 3-1-1 sa last five matches at 2.00 points per match. Mainz 05: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim scores 1.91 at concedes 1.53 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 1.29 at concedes 1.56. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim 65%, Mainz 05 62%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 71%, Mainz 05 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots at playing style
Hoffenheim ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.64 vs 1.42. Hoffenheim averages 14.1 shots per match, habang Mainz 05 ay 12.1.
First at second half
Hoffenheim leads at half-time sa 44% ng matches at scores 0.85 goals after the break. Mainz 05: 35% at 0.62.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (19 goals). Mainz 05: 31-45+ (10 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62% at Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
I predict Hoffenheim to win (1). Home team scored 54 goals this season at an average of 2.15 goals per home match, while Mainz have 33 goals and only 1.23 away, giving Hoffenheim a clear offensive edge. Hoffenheim averages 16.15 shots and 6.08 shots on target per home game and have home xG 1.87 vs Mainz away xG 1.14; additionally hosts control possession 57% of the time vs guests only 39%. However, Mainz are in better recent form: in their last five matches they scored 8 goals and conceded only 3 (3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game), while Hoffenheim also scored 8 but conceded 14 (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 points per game). Considering the seasonal advantage for Hoffenheim in chance creation and efficiency (home goal difference +13 and home win rate 62% vs Mainz away 23%), but also the weaker short-term trend for the hosts, I give 60% probability to the home team, 20% for a draw and 20% for the away team.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.4 pts / match - Mainz 05
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.29 goals / match - Mainz 05
Hoffenheim scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hoffenheim
Over / Under — Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.38 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 62% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hoffenheim 0 - 1 - 0 Mainz 05. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05?
Natapos ang Bundesliga match sa score na Hoffenheim 1:2 Mainz 05. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05?
Hoffenheim scores 1.91 goals per match at Mainz 05 1.29. Ang Bundesliga average ay 3.24 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 64% ng matches. BTTS: Hoffenheim 65%, Mainz 05 62%.
Ano ang current form ng Hoffenheim at Mainz 05?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Hoffenheim ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match), habang ang Mainz 05 ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.