Nacional vs Peñarol: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Nacional vs Peñarol sa Primera División (Uruguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 30 November 2025 at 20:30. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Nacional: 1-4-0 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Peñarol: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

Nacional scores 1.98 at concedes 0.88 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.71 at concedes 0.93. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional 57%, Peñarol 49%. Over 2.5: Nacional 63%, Peñarol 49%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots at playing style

Peñarol ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.85 vs 1.80. Nacional averages 14.7 shots per match, habang Peñarol ay 15.0.

First at second half

Nacional leads at half-time sa 40% ng matches at scores 1.05 goals after the break. Peñarol: 37% at 1.05.

Goals by minute

Nacional: 31-45+ (19 goals). Peñarol: 46-60 (17 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 49% at Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Sa 5 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-3-2. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 40%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
NacionalPeñarol
13Shots4
NacionalPeñarol
7Shots on target1
NacionalPeñarol
2.06xG0.89
NacionalPeñarol
7Corners2
NacionalPeñarol
104Dangerous attacks77
NacionalPeñarol
-1Fouls-1
NacionalPeñarol
5Cards5
NacionalPeñarol

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.98Goals scored / match1.71
NacionalPeñarol
0.88Goals conceded / match0.93
NacionalPeñarol
54%Average possession57%
NacionalPeñarol
5.35Shots on target / match5.51
NacionalPeñarol

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.65Shots per match14.98
NacionalPeñarol
5.35Shots on target5.51
NacionalPeñarol
13.5%Shot conversion11.4%
NacionalPeñarol
54%Possession57%
NacionalPeñarol
1.8xG for1.85
NacionalPeñarol
1.29xG against1.17
NacionalPeñarol

Shooting quality

Nacional: AttackingPeñarol: Dominant
NacionalPeñarol
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Peñarol is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Nacional · 2 pts / match - Peñarol

Nacional
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W30% R8% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-12-3
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-5-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Peñarol
WWWDL
Season result split
61% W20% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-8-8
2.02 pts / match · goal difference +32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-6-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.98 goals / match - Nacional · 1.71 goals / match - Peñarol

Nacional is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Nacional · 0.93 goals / match - Peñarol

Scoring profile ng Nacional: malakas

Nacional scores in 80% of matches (32 of 40 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 37% (15 of 41 matches).

Scoring profile ng Peñarol: napakalakas

Peñarol scores in 83% of matches (34 of 41 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 38% (15 of 40 matches).

79Goals scored (season)70
NacionalPeñarol
35Goals conceded (season)38
NacionalPeñarol
2.85Average goals in match2.63
NacionalPeñarol
4Goals scored (last 5)8
NacionalPeñarol
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
NacionalPeñarol

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal83%
NacionalPeñarol
63%2 goals61%
NacionalPeñarol
38%3 goals22%
NacionalPeñarol
13%4 goals5%
NacionalPeñarol

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal63%
NacionalPeñarol
20%2 goals24%
NacionalPeñarol
5%3 goals5%
NacionalPeñarol
0%4 goals0%
NacionalPeñarol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time22%
NacionalPeñarol
10%BTTS in both halves2%
NacionalPeñarol
43%Scored in both halves46%
NacionalPeñarol

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
NacionalPeñarol
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
NacionalPeñarol
40%BTTS - last 560%
NacionalPeñarol

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
NacionalPeñarol
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
NacionalPeñarol
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
NacionalPeñarol

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
NacionalPeñarol
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
NacionalPeñarol
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
NacionalPeñarol

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.65 pts / match - Nacional · 1.51 pts / match - Peñarol

Nacional - half-time state
40% leading45% draw15% trailing
Peñarol - half-time state
37% leading41% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.65Points per match (1st half)1.51
NacionalPeñarol
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.66
NacionalPeñarol
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
NacionalPeñarol
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.12
NacionalPeñarol
57%Clean sheet before half-time61%
NacionalPeñarol
45%No goal before half-time46%
NacionalPeñarol

After half-time (2nd half)

1.98Points per match (2nd half)2.02
NacionalPeñarol
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)1.05
NacionalPeñarol
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
NacionalPeñarol
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.51
NacionalPeñarol
63%Clean sheet after half-time61%
NacionalPeñarol
33%No goal after half-time24%
NacionalPeñarol

Nacional - second-half results

53% W40% R8% P
66
Half-time points
37
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
79
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Peñarol - second-half results

61% W20% R20% P
62
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
83
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.51
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Peñarol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
11
2
0-15
7
8
16-30
19
10
31-45
10
6
46-60
15
1
61-75
17
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Peñarol
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
9
16-30
13
6
31-45
17
8
46-60
9
4
61-75
17
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Peñarol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

NacionalLigaPeñarol
Average goals in match 2.852.33 2.63
Both teams scored 57%49% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%43% 49%
Clean sheets 38%31% 37%
Goal before half-time 70%61% 71%
Goal after half-time 75%75% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Nacional 0 - 3 - 2 Peñarol. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 40% mga match.

Nacional
0 : 1
Peñarol
CA Peñarol
2 : 2
Club Nacional de Football
CA Peñarol
3 : 0
Club Nacional de Football
Club Nacional de Football
0 : 0
CA Peñarol
Club Nacional de Football
1 : 1
CA Peñarol

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Nacional vs Peñarol?

Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Nacional 1:0 Peñarol. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Nacional at Peñarol?

Sa huling 5 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Nacional ng 0, ang Peñarol ng 2, at 3 ang draws. Average goals: 2.00; BTTS: 40%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Nacional vs Peñarol?

Nacional scores 1.98 goals per match at Peñarol 1.71. Ang Primera División average ay 2.33 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 43% ng matches. BTTS: Nacional 57%, Peñarol 49%.

Ano ang current form ng Nacional at Peñarol?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Nacional ay 1-4-0 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Peñarol ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Nacional vs Peñarol?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.