Estonia - MeistriliigaData updated noong July 23, 2026

Nõmme United vs Paide: match stats

Nõmme United crest
Nõmme United
2 : 3half-time 0:2
Paide crest
Paide

Nõmme United vs Paide: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Nõmme United vs Paide sa Meistriliiga (Estonia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 10 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Nõmme United: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Paide: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

Nõmme United scores 1.95 at concedes 2.30 goals per match. Paide scores 1.60 at concedes 1.40. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nõmme United 90%, Paide 70%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 95%, Paide 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots at playing style

Paide ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.65 vs 1.50. Nõmme United averages 11.9 shots per match, habang Paide ay 13.7.

First at second half

Nõmme United leads at half-time sa 25% ng matches at scores 1.20 goals after the break. Paide: 35% at 0.80.

Goals by minute

Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58% at Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Nõmme United ang favorite sa home: may 60% home wins at nag-aaverage ng 3.4 goals per home match, kasama ang 14.2 shots at 6 on target per game. Paide sa away nag-aaverage ng 2.2 goals with 12.8 shots at 5.8 on target at 17% conversion rate, kaya hosts may advantage sa volume at efficiency ng attempts (24% vs 17%). Defensively si Nõmme medyo unstable — sa huling 5 home games na-concede nila 13 goals (2.6 per game), habang Paide sa huling 5 matches conceded 5 goals (1.0 per game) at may 20% clean sheets on the road. xG ng hosts 1.8 vs 1.62 xG ng Paide away, at pareho teams wala pang matches na goalless (0% such games), with Nõmme home average total goals 5.0, which points to mataas na potential for goals from both sides. Considering 60% home wins, higher shooting efficiency ng hosts at simultaneous defensive issues (13 conceded in last 5), predict ko home win with 58% probability, draw 20% and away win 22%.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Nõmme UnitedPaide
13Shots21
Nõmme UnitedPaide
5Shots on target6
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.81xG2.29
Nõmme UnitedPaide
8Corners3
Nõmme UnitedPaide
87Dangerous attacks75
Nõmme UnitedPaide
12Fouls15
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1Cards3
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.95Goals scored / match1.6
Nõmme UnitedPaide
2.3Goals conceded / match1.4
Nõmme UnitedPaide
47%Average possession54%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
4.05Shots on target / match4.35
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.95Shots per match13.7
Nõmme UnitedPaide
4.05Shots on target4.35
Nõmme UnitedPaide
16.3%Shot conversion11.7%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
47%Possession54%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.5xG for1.65
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.98xG against1.59
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Shooting quality

Nõmme United: Counter-attackingPaide: Balanced
Nõmme UnitedPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United · 2 pts / match - Paide

Nõmme United
LWLWW
Season result split
40% W5% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-11
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-6
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Paide
WWDWL
Season result split
45% W25% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-6
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.6 goals / match - Paide

Paide is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.4 goals / match - Paide

Scoring profile ng Nõmme United: napakalakas

Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).

Scoring profile ng Paide: napakalakas

Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).

39Goals scored (season)32
Nõmme UnitedPaide
46Goals conceded (season)28
Nõmme UnitedPaide
4.25Average goals in match3
Nõmme UnitedPaide
10Goals scored (last 5)9
Nõmme UnitedPaide
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
Nõmme UnitedPaide

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal90%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
50%2 goals45%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
25%3 goals20%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
10%4 goals5%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
65%2 goals35%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
40%3 goals15%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
10%4 goals5%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time30%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
5%BTTS in both halves10%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
25%Scored in both halves40%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

BTTS and goal count

85%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
100%BTTS - last 580%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

95%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Nõmme United · 1.55 pts / match - Paide

Nõmme United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Paide - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.55
Nõmme UnitedPaide
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.15Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.9Average goals (1st half)1.45
Nõmme UnitedPaide
20%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
45%No goal before half-time40%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.15Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Nõmme UnitedPaide
2.35Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Nõmme UnitedPaide
25%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
40%No goal after half-time30%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Nõmme United - second-half results

35% W25% R40% P
20
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match2.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
5
10
16-30
7
6
31-45
7
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

3.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
80%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
169%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme UnitedLigaPaide
Average goals in match 4.253.11 3.00
Both teams scored 90%58% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 95%66% 55%
Clean sheets 0%23% 20%
Goal before half-time 95%74% 65%
Goal after half-time 95%88% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Nõmme United 0 - 0 - 1 Paide. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Nõmme United vs Paide?

Natapos ang Meistriliiga match sa score na Nõmme United 2:3 Paide. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Nõmme United vs Paide?

Nõmme United scores 1.95 goals per match at Paide 1.60. Ang Meistriliiga average ay 3.11 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 66% ng matches. BTTS: Nõmme United 90%, Paide 70%.

Ano ang current form ng Nõmme United at Paide?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Nõmme United ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Paide ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Nõmme United vs Paide?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.