Toluca vs Tijuana: match stats
Si Toluca ang nagpapakita ng mas magandang form at home stats, with an impressive 64% win rate sa kanilang home matches at 7% losses lang. Ang home team ay nag-score ng average na 2.57 goals per home game, at 1.21 lang conceded, giving them a massive +19 goal difference advantage. Samantala, si Tijuana ay may mahinang away record – 18% wins lang, 55% losses, at negative -11 goal difference. Ang away team ay mataas din ang percentage ng games na walang na-score sa away (27%) at mahina ang attacking efficiency (1.27 goals average). Yung recent form ng both teams ay pabor din sa home side – si Toluca ay undefeated sa last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), habang si Tijuana ay walang panalo sa last 5 away games nila. Lahat ng key indicators, including xG (2.05 vs 1.15), possession (58% vs 44%), at shooting efficiency, ay nagpapakita ng clear advantage para kay Toluca.
Toluca vs Tijuana: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Toluca vs Tijuana sa Liga MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 14 February 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Toluca: 1-0-4 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Tijuana: 3-2-0 at 2.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Toluca scores 1.86 at concedes 1.02 goals per match. Tijuana scores 1.46 at concedes 1.24. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toluca 55%, Tijuana 51%. Over 2.5: Toluca 50%, Tijuana 51%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots at playing style
Toluca ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.82 vs 1.28. Toluca averages 17.5 shots per match, habang Tijuana ay 11.8.
First at second half
Toluca leads at half-time sa 38% ng matches at scores 1.07 goals after the break. Tijuana: 38% at 0.78.
Goals by minute
Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). Tijuana: 31-45+ (11 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59% at Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 0.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Si Toluca ang nagpapakita ng mas magandang form at home stats, with an impressive 64% win rate sa kanilang home matches at 7% losses lang. Ang home team ay nag-score ng average na 2.57 goals per home game, at 1.21 lang conceded, giving them a massive +19 goal difference advantage. Samantala, si Tijuana ay may mahinang away record – 18% wins lang, 55% losses, at negative -11 goal difference. Ang away team ay mataas din ang percentage ng games na walang na-score sa away (27%) at mahina ang attacking efficiency (1.27 goals average). Yung recent form ng both teams ay pabor din sa home side – si Toluca ay undefeated sa last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), habang si Tijuana ay walang panalo sa last 5 away games nila. Lahat ng key indicators, including xG (2.05 vs 1.15), possession (58% vs 44%), at shooting efficiency, ay nagpapakita ng clear advantage para kay Toluca.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tijuana is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Toluca · 2.2 pts / match - Tijuana
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Toluca · 1.46 goals / match - Tijuana
Toluca is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.02 goals / match - Toluca · 1.24 goals / match - Tijuana
Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).
Tijuana scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toluca
Over / Under — Tijuana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tijuana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Toluca
Tijuana
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toluca 0 - 1 - 0 Tijuana. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Toluca vs Tijuana?
Natapos ang Liga MX match sa score na Toluca 1:0 Tijuana. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Toluca vs Tijuana?
Toluca scores 1.86 goals per match at Tijuana 1.46. Ang Liga MX average ay 2.91 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Toluca 55%, Tijuana 51%.
Ano ang current form ng Toluca at Tijuana?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Toluca ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Tijuana ay 3-2-0 (2.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Toluca vs Tijuana?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.