Ulm vs MSV Duisburg: match stats
MSV Duisburg bilang leader ng table, nagpapakita ng mas mataas na form at efficiency kumpara sa Ulm na nasa 19th place. Ang hosts ay mayroon lamang 30% win rate sa kanilang home games with 70% losses, at uma-average ng 2.1 goals conceded per home match. Sa away matches, ang MSV Duisburg ay may solid defense na may 55% clean sheets at average na 1.18 goals conceded, with 36% win rate sa away. Ang form sa last five matches ay pabor din sa away team (1.6 points per match vs 1.2 for Ulm). Ang difference sa goal balance (+6 for MSV sa away vs -7 for Ulm sa home) at mas mataas na shot conversion rate ng away team (15% vs 13%) ay additional support sa clear advantage ng team from Duisburg. Base sa lahat ng statistics, ang MSV Duisburg ay may real chances para manalo, pero ang solid draw form ng away team (36% draws sa away) ay hindi dapat i-exclude ang possibility ng point sharing.
Ulm vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Ulm vs MSV Duisburg sa 3. Liga (Germany). Naka-schedule ang match sa 1 February 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ulm: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Ulm scores 1.29 at concedes 2.05 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 at concedes 1.29. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulm 74%, MSV Duisburg 66%. Over 2.5: Ulm 66%, MSV Duisburg 63%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots at playing style
MSV Duisburg ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.52 vs 1.43. Ulm averages 11.8 shots per match, habang MSV Duisburg ay 12.4.
First at second half
Ulm leads at half-time sa 16% ng matches at scores 0.79 goals after the break. MSV Duisburg: 32% at 1.03.
Goals by minute
Ulm: 76-90+ (14 goals). MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64% at Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
MSV Duisburg bilang leader ng table, nagpapakita ng mas mataas na form at efficiency kumpara sa Ulm na nasa 19th place. Ang hosts ay mayroon lamang 30% win rate sa kanilang home games with 70% losses, at uma-average ng 2.1 goals conceded per home match. Sa away matches, ang MSV Duisburg ay may solid defense na may 55% clean sheets at average na 1.18 goals conceded, with 36% win rate sa away. Ang form sa last five matches ay pabor din sa away team (1.6 points per match vs 1.2 for Ulm). Ang difference sa goal balance (+6 for MSV sa away vs -7 for Ulm sa home) at mas mataas na shot conversion rate ng away team (15% vs 13%) ay additional support sa clear advantage ng team from Duisburg. Base sa lahat ng statistics, ang MSV Duisburg ay may real chances para manalo, pero ang solid draw form ng away team (36% draws sa away) ay hindi dapat i-exclude ang possibility ng point sharing.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulm | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MSV Duisburg is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ulm · 1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Ulm · 1.74 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Ulm · 1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Ulm scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulm
Over / Under — MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MSV Duisburg is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Ulm · 1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Ulm
MSV Duisburg
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ulm | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.34 | 3.21 | ▼ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 64% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulm 0 - 0 - 1 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Ulm vs MSV Duisburg?
Natapos ang 3. Liga match sa score na Ulm 1:0 MSV Duisburg. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Ulm vs MSV Duisburg?
Ulm scores 1.29 goals per match at MSV Duisburg 1.74. Ang 3. Liga average ay 3.21 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 64% ng matches. BTTS: Ulm 74%, MSV Duisburg 66%.
Ano ang current form ng Ulm at MSV Duisburg?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Ulm ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang MSV Duisburg ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Ulm vs MSV Duisburg?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.