International - World CupData updated noong July 19, 2026

USMNT vs Paraguay: match stats

USMNT crest
USMNT
4 : 1half-time 3:0
Paraguay crest
Paraguay

USMNT vs Paraguay: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

USMNT vs Paraguay sa World Cup (International). Naka-schedule ang match sa 13 June 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

USMNT: 3-0-2 sa last five matches at 1.80 points per match. Paraguay: 1-2-2 at 1.00 points per match.

Goal statistics

USMNT scores 2.20 at concedes 1.60 goals per match. Paraguay scores 0.60 at concedes 1.20. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: USMNT 60%, Paraguay 40%. Over 2.5: USMNT 60%, Paraguay 20%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots at playing style

USMNT ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.43 vs 0.74. USMNT averages 11.8 shots per match, habang Paraguay ay 7.0.

First at second half

USMNT leads at half-time sa 60% ng matches at scores 0.60 goals after the break. Paraguay: 40% at 0.20.

Goals by minute

USMNT: 31-45+ (5 goals). Paraguay: 0-15 (1 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

World Cup: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 55% at Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Wala pang sapat na head-to-head sample para gawing pangunahing comparison.

Match description

USMNT gets a strong home advantage at may mas malalim na squad kaysa Paraguay. Paraguay is chuycho (nang-iistorbo), aggressive sa duels at marunong mag-slow down ng tempo, pero ayon sa aming model advantage ng USMNT is clearer kaysa ipinapakita ng odds. Our probability breakdown: USMNT 61%, draw 23%, Paraguay 16%. Sa odds na 2.00 ang model sees EV around +22.0%, so odds give real edge over aming valuation. Risk: nervous tournament start at na maaaring maging disadvantage, at yung faktong komportable si Paraguay sa matches kapag hindi sila ang kailangang mag-dominate. Status: BET.

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
USMNTParaguay
16Shots9
USMNTParaguay
6Shots on target1
USMNTParaguay
2.1xG0.8
USMNTParaguay
3Corners1
USMNTParaguay
92Dangerous attacks22
USMNTParaguay
13Fouls17
USMNTParaguay
1Cards5
USMNTParaguay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.2Goals scored / match0.6
USMNTParaguay
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
USMNTParaguay
57%Average possession30%
USMNTParaguay
3.8Shots on target / match1.6
USMNTParaguay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.8Shots per match7
USMNTParaguay
3.8Shots on target1.6
USMNTParaguay
18.6%Shot conversion8.6%
USMNTParaguay
57%Possession30%
USMNTParaguay
1.43xG for0.74
USMNTParaguay
1.08xG against2.29
USMNTParaguay

Shooting quality

USMNT: Efficient finishingParaguay: Balanced
USMNTParaguay
Accuracy (shots on target)32%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.580.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

USMNT is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - USMNT · 1 pts / match - Paraguay

USMNT
WWLWL
Season result split
60% W0% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Paraguay
LWDDL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.74Opponent xG: 2.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

USMNT is 267% better for: goals scored per match.

2.2 goals / match - USMNT · 0.6 goals / match - Paraguay

Paraguay is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - USMNT · 1.2 goals / match - Paraguay

Scoring profile ng USMNT: napakalakas

USMNT scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Paraguay keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Scoring profile ng Paraguay: mixed

Paraguay scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while USMNT keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

11Goals scored (season)3
USMNTParaguay
8Goals conceded (season)6
USMNTParaguay
3.8Average goals in match1.8
USMNTParaguay
11Goals scored (last 5)3
USMNTParaguay
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
USMNTParaguay

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
USMNTParaguay
80%2 goals0%
USMNTParaguay
20%3 goals0%
USMNTParaguay
20%4 goals0%
USMNTParaguay

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal60%
USMNTParaguay
40%2 goals20%
USMNTParaguay
40%3 goals20%
USMNTParaguay
20%4 goals20%
USMNTParaguay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time0%
USMNTParaguay
20%BTTS in both halves0%
USMNTParaguay
60%Scored in both halves0%
USMNTParaguay

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
USMNTParaguay
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
USMNTParaguay
60%BTTS - last 540%
USMNTParaguay

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
USMNTParaguay
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
USMNTParaguay
60%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
USMNTParaguay

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
USMNTParaguay
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
USMNTParaguay
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
USMNTParaguay

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

USMNT is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - USMNT · 1.6 pts / match - Paraguay

USMNT - half-time state
60% leading0% draw40% trailing
Paraguay - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)1.6
USMNTParaguay
1.6Goals scored (1st half)0.4
USMNTParaguay
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
USMNTParaguay
2.4Average goals (1st half)1
USMNTParaguay
60%Clean sheet before half-time80%
USMNTParaguay
0%No goal before half-time60%
USMNTParaguay

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)0.6
USMNTParaguay
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
USMNTParaguay
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
USMNTParaguay
1.4Average goals (2nd half)0.8
USMNTParaguay
40%Clean sheet after half-time40%
USMNTParaguay
40%No goal after half-time80%
USMNTParaguay

USMNT - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
9
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paraguay - second-half results

0% W60% R40% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

USMNT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8
Paraguay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

USMNT
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Paraguay
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

USMNT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Paraguay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
48%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).

Teams vs league

USMNTLigaParaguay
Average goals in match 3.802.98 1.80
Both teams scored 60%55% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%56% 20%
Clean sheets 40%26% 40%
Goal before half-time 100%70% 60%
Goal after half-time 80%82% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng USMNT vs Paraguay?

Natapos ang World Cup match sa score na USMNT 4:1 Paraguay. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang USMNT vs Paraguay?

USMNT scores 2.20 goals per match at Paraguay 0.60. Ang World Cup average ay 2.98 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 56% ng matches. BTTS: USMNT 60%, Paraguay 40%.

Ano ang current form ng USMNT at Paraguay?

Sa last 5 matches, ang USMNT ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match), habang ang Paraguay ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng USMNT vs Paraguay?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.