07 Vestur vs B36: match statistics

B36 sit 5th, while 07 Vestur are eighth, and over the course of the season the visitors have a clearly better record: 8 wins and 28 goals scored compared with the hosts’ 5 wins and 16 goals. Away from home, B36 create slightly more high-quality chances, recording an xG of 1.51 versus 07 Vestur’s 1.45 at home, while also conceding an average of just 1.67 goals per match compared with 2.56 for the hosts. However, current form favours 07 Vestur, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 8 goals in that period, whereas B36 have managed just 3 goals and suffered 3 defeats. The visitors have drawn as many as 44% of their away matches, while the hosts have recorded both a 33% win rate and a 33% loss rate at home, making a closely contested share of the points the most likely outcome. B36’s advantage in the season-long statistics is offset by 07 Vestur’s superior short-term efficiency, increasing the likelihood of a draw.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as 07 Vestur kept a clean sheet in 56% of their home matches, while their season-long rate of both teams scoring is only 22%. B36 have averaged 1.67 goals in their season matches, but they have scored just 3 goals in their last five appearances, averaging 0.6 per game, and failed to score in 33% of matches. The hosts have been more effective offensively in their current form, scoring 1.6 goals per game, while B36 have recently conceded as many as 1.8 goals per match, making a one-sided result in favour of 07 Vestur a realistic possibility. The visitors’ chances are supported by similar recent xG figures—B36 at 1.47 compared with 1.49 xG conceded by Vestur—but their poor finishing and the hosts’ solid defence more often point to at least one team failing to score.

07 Vestur average 1.44 goals scored and just 0.78 conceded at home, while keeping a clean sheet in 56% of their matches, which clearly limits B36’s attacking potential. The visitors do have an away xG of 1.51, but they have scored only 0.6 goals per game across their last five matches and have not exceeded an average of 1.8 goals conceded. The 3.5-goal line was covered in only 11% of 07 Vestur’s matches and 44% of B36’s, while 89% and 56% of their respective games ended below this line. The projected total of 2.47 goals and the low 22% share of home matches in which both teams scored support the selection of Under 3.5 goals.

07 Vestur have a clearly stronger first-half profile: they have led at the break in 33% of their matches, compared with just 11% for B36, while the visitors have been behind at half-time in as many as 44% of games. The hosts concede just 0.33 goals per match before the interval, whereas B36 allow opponents to score 1.11 goals, reinforcing the scenario of 07 Vestur taking an early lead. Current form also favours the home side, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals in those games, compared with B36’s 0.6 goals and 3 defeats. After the break, B36 are capable of scoring an average of 1.11 goals, so a draw or turnaround cannot be ruled out. However, 07 Vestur have the better defensive record over the season, conceding 0.78 goals per match compared with 1.67 for the visitors. The strongest individual signal therefore remains 07 Vestur leading at half-time and holding that advantage until the final whistle.