1 Dezembro vs Caldas: match statistics
1 Dezembro vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
1 Dezembro played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
1 Dezembro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Caldas: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
1 Dezembro scores 0.93 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Caldas scores 0.96 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 1 Dezembro 48%, Caldas 48%. Over 2.5: 1 Dezembro 33%, Caldas 37%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Caldas has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.07. 1 Dezembro: 7.9 shots per match, Caldas: 8.8.
Match halves
1 Dezembro: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.48. Caldas: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
1 Dezembro: 31-45+ (8 goals). Caldas: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Prediction: home win. 1 Dezembro scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches, while Caldas only 4, equating to 1.4 goals per match for the hosts versus 0.8 for the visitors. The home side creates more chances — in home matches they average 9.15 shots and 3.15 on target with xG 1.19, whereas Caldas on the road average 7.08 shots, 2.77 on target and xG 1.07. The visitors’ strengths are higher finishing efficiency (conversion 11% vs 8%) and a higher clean sheet rate (38% vs 23%), but both teams concede at a similar rate (on average 1.15 goals per match) and over the season the hosts have conceded 34 goals versus 32 for Caldas. Considering better chance creation and slightly better form in the last 5 (hosts 1.2 points per match vs 1.0 for the visitors) I give a minimal edge to 1 Dezembro.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate BTTS - Yes as more likely (60% vs 40%), primarily due to the hosts' offensive activity combined with both teams' tendencies to concede. 1 Dezembro posts a seasonal BTTS of 71% with averages of 1.14 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per match; in the last 5 matches they average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, indicating both chance creation and susceptibility. Caldas has a seasonal BTTS of only 23% with 0.77 scored and 1.15 conceded on average, but in their last 5 matches BTTS is 60% and they average 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, so recently they score and concede more often. xG and shot metrics support a both-teams-to-score outcome: 1 Dezembro xG_for 1.32 and 10.5 shots per match versus Caldas xG_against 1.35, while Caldas generates xG_for 1.07 and 2.77 shots on target, yielding realistic opportunities for both sides. The counterargument is Caldas’ higher clean sheet rate (38%) and a strong league clean sheet share of 62%, so I retain moderate uncertainty and a 60/40 split favoring 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on average xG and defensive data, I estimate 1 Dezembro will score about 1.28 goals and Caldas about 1.08 goals, totaling ~2.36 goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.36 indicates probability of ≥2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈68%, ≥3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈42% and ≥4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈21%. Seasonal rates confirm a strong signal for the 1.5 line: 1 Dezembro has 79% of matches over 1.5 goals, Caldas 54%, while for the 2.5 line the figures are 50% and 23% respectively. Additionally, home xG 1.32 versus xG against Caldas 1.35 and away xG 1.07 versus xG against 1 Dezembro 0.95 suggest the home side will create the majority of chances, with the away side contributing a smaller but meaningful share. On this basis I recommend playing over 1.5 (side: "over", line: 1.5) as the strongest and most probable signal, since it has the highest data support (≈68% probability and seasonal 79%/54%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics indicate that the most common state at the break is a draw: hosts were level at half-time in 43% of their matches, visitors in 38%, yielding an estimated ~41% probability of a draw at half-time. The home side has an offensive edge (xG 1.32 versus 1.07 for the visitors) and produces more shots (10.5 versus 7.08) and more shots on target (3.36 versus 2.77), which supports a potential turnaround after the break. The difference is particularly pronounced in the second half: hosts average 0.79 goals after the break compared to 0.46 for visitors, and 79% of home matches feature at least one goal in the second half. Consequently the strongest signal is a draw at half-time with a home win at full-time (X/1) — I assign it a 23% probability; additionally I allocate 17% to 1/1 and 18% to 2/2, taking into account that hosts lead at the break in only 14% of fixtures while visitors lead in 23%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 1 Dezembro | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
1 Dezembro is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - 1 Dezembro · 1 pts / match - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caldas is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - 1 Dezembro · 1.19 goals / match - Caldas
1 Dezembro scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Caldas scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while 1 Dezembro keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 1 Dezembro
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
1 Dezembro is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - 1 Dezembro · 0.96 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
1 Dezembro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
1 Dezembro
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| 1 Dezembro | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.19 | 2.20 | • 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | • 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 31% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): 1 Dezembro 1 - 1 - 1 Caldas. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 1 Dezembro vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished 1 Dezembro 2:1 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 1 Dezembro and Caldas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches 1 Dezembro won 1, Caldas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 1 Dezembro vs Caldas?
1 Dezembro score 0.93 goals per game on average and Caldas 0.96. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 48% of 1 Dezembro's matches and 48% of Caldas's.
What form are 1 Dezembro and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games 1 Dezembro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Caldas 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 1 Dezembro vs Caldas?
The statistical background for 1 Dezembro vs Caldas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.