1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue: match statistics
1860 München demonstrates significantly better form both in the context of the whole season and the last five matches, gaining 2 points per match compared to just 0.4 points for Erzgebirge Aue. The hosts win 54% of home matches and have a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium, while the visitors concede an average of 1.83 goals away and have won only 8% of their away matches. Erzgebirge Aue's form is alarming – a streak of 'lddll' in the last five matches and only 5 goals scored with 10 conceded shows their offensive and defensive weakness. 1860 München has better xG statistics (1.51 vs 1.29 for the guests), higher shot efficiency (16% vs 9%), and a significantly better average of goals scored per match at home (1.92 vs 0.92 for the guests away). All indicators clearly point to an advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on the rival's poor form and secure three points.
1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
1860 München played Erzgebirge Aue in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
1860 München: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Erzgebirge Aue: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
1860 München scores 1.62 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.12 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 1860 München 62%, Erzgebirge Aue 58%. Over 2.5: 1860 München 58%, Erzgebirge Aue 62%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Erzgebirge Aue has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.39. 1860 München: 11.1 shots per match, Erzgebirge Aue: 12.0.
Match halves
1860 München: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.96. Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
1860 München: 76-90+ (13 goals). Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
1860 München demonstrates significantly better form both in the context of the whole season and the last five matches, gaining 2 points per match compared to just 0.4 points for Erzgebirge Aue. The hosts win 54% of home matches and have a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium, while the visitors concede an average of 1.83 goals away and have won only 8% of their away matches. Erzgebirge Aue's form is alarming – a streak of 'lddll' in the last five matches and only 5 goals scored with 10 conceded shows their offensive and defensive weakness. 1860 München has better xG statistics (1.51 vs 1.29 for the guests), higher shot efficiency (16% vs 9%), and a significantly better average of goals scored per match at home (1.92 vs 0.92 for the guests away). All indicators clearly point to an advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on the rival's poor form and secure three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 1860 München | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
1860 München is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - 1860 München · 0.4 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
1860 München is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - 1860 München · 1.12 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
1860 München is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - 1860 München · 1.65 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
1860 München scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while 1860 München keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 1860 München
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
1860 München - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
1860 München
Erzgebirge Aue
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| 1860 München | Liga | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.13 | ▼ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 62% | 64% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 63% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 21% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: 1860 München 0 - 0 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The 3. Liga match finished 1860 München 2:1 Erzgebirge Aue. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
1860 München score 1.62 goals per game on average and Erzgebirge Aue 1.12. The 3. Liga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 62% of 1860 München's matches and 58% of Erzgebirge Aue's.
What form are 1860 München and Erzgebirge Aue in?
Over the last 5 games 1860 München have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Erzgebirge Aue 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.