22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC: match statistics
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
22 de Julio played Gualaceo SC in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 29 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
22 de Julio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gualaceo SC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
22 de Julio scores 0.83 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Gualaceo SC scores 0.57 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 22 de Julio 33%, Gualaceo SC 14%. Over 2.5: 22 de Julio 33%, Gualaceo SC 0%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Gualaceo SC has higher xG: 1.22 vs 0.95. 22 de Julio: 4.0 shots per match, Gualaceo SC: 5.1.
Match halves
22 de Julio: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Gualaceo SC: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
22 de Julio: 0-15 (2 goals). Gualaceo SC: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gualaceo SC is the favorite: they won 3 of their last 5 matches and collected 11 points in that period (avg. 2.2 points per match), while 22 de Julio has only 1 win in the last 5 and averages 0.8 points per match. In attack the visitors scored 5 goals in their last five matches (1.0 per match) and on the road they average 10 shots with 6 on target, with away xG of 1.47; the hosts scored 3 goals in their last 5 and have 5 goals in the season. Defensively Gualaceo has a clear advantage: the visitors conceded only 1 goal in their last five matches and 4 goals in 6 matches this season (0.67 per match), while 22 de Julio conceded 6 goals in the last 5 and 9 goals in 6 matches this season (1.5 per match). The hosts have statistically better home metrics (67% wins and 67% clean sheets at home), but this looks like a small-sample effect and does not offset their poor form and lack of registered xG. On this basis I tip an away win, mainly due to better form, higher xG (1.47) and a significantly better goal record over the last five matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick 'No' — No Goal/Goal because 22 de Julio has 75% clean sheets this season and a season BTTS rate of 0%, meaning the home side keep a clean sheet in 3 out of 4 matches. Gualaceo generates xG 1.47 and averages 6.0 shots on target per game, but with a season goals average of 0.5 and a conversion rate of 0.0% they look like a team creating chances but not converting them. League context reinforces this: the league records 64% clean sheets and an average goals per game of 2.06, indicating predominantly low-scoring affairs despite a league BTTS of 50%. The last five matches give mixed signals (BTTS 40% for the home team and 20% for the away team; home conceded 1.2 goals on average in the last 5, away conceded 0.2), but the season-long 75% clean sheets and 0% BTTS for 22 de Julio remain the dominant factor. Based on this I assign a 75% probability to No Goal/Goal and 25% to BTTS - Yes, because the home side's resilient defense and the visitors' low efficiency (0.0% conversion, 0.5 goals/game) outweigh the visitors' higher xG.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG, both sides combine for approximately 2.30 expected goals: home 1.03 (xG_for 1.10 and xG_against_away 0.95) and away 1.27 (xG_for 1.47 and xG_against_home 1.07). A Poisson model with λ=2.30 yields probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈67%, Over 2.5 ≈40% and Over 3.5 ≈20% (corresponding Unders: 33%, 60%, 80%). Seasonal metrics confirm a low-scoring profile: the home side averages 0.75 goals, the away side 0.50; the home team has 75% clean sheets, and neither team has recorded a match over 2.5 goals this season (seasonOver25 0% for both), although in the last 5 fixtures the home team had 40% of matches >2.5. The visitors register more shots on target (6.0 vs 2.67) and have higher xG_for 1.47, but the away side’s season shot conversion is 0.0%, which limits the risk of a high-scoring game. Therefore I recommend Under 3.5 as the strongest signal — it has the highest probability among the lines analyzed (≈80%) given the expected 2.30 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). The home side led at the break in 25% of their home matches, while a half-time draw occurred in 50% of their games, favoring a draw after 45 minutes. Over the full match the hosts win 50% of fixtures and average 1.75 points per game versus 0.5 points for the away side, so the advantage in the final result lies with 22 de Julio. The visitors have higher xG (1.47 vs 1.10) and more shots (10.0 vs 6.67) as well as shots on target (6.0 vs 2.67), but their shot conversion rate is 0% versus 15% for the hosts, which limits the realistic chances of goals despite superiority in opportunities. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 75% of season matches, increasing the probability the game will be level at the break and that the decisive strike will come after the interval in favor of the home team; however, note that the visitors have won 60% of their last five matches, giving them some comeback potential.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 22 de Julio | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 21% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.00 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gualaceo SC is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - 22 de Julio · 1.6 pts / match - Gualaceo SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
22 de Julio is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - 22 de Julio · 0.57 goals / match - Gualaceo SC
Gualaceo SC is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - 22 de Julio · 0.86 goals / match - Gualaceo SC
22 de Julio scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Gualaceo SC scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while 22 de Julio keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 22 de Julio
Over / Under - Gualaceo SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
22 de Julio is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - 22 de Julio · 0.86 pts / match - Gualaceo SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
22 de Julio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gualaceo SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
22 de Julio
Gualaceo SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 22 de Julio | Liga | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.33 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 51% | ▼ 14% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): 22 de Julio 0 - 2 - 0 Gualaceo SC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 22 de Julio 0:0 Gualaceo SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 22 de Julio and Gualaceo SC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches 22 de Julio won 0, Gualaceo SC won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
22 de Julio score 0.83 goals per game on average and Gualaceo SC 0.57. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 33% of 22 de Julio's matches and 14% of Gualaceo SC's.
What form are 22 de Julio and Gualaceo SC in?
Over the last 5 games 22 de Julio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gualaceo SC 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC?
The statistical background for 22 de Julio vs Gualaceo SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.