22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors: match statistics
22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
22 de Julio played Independiente Juniors in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
22 de Julio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Independiente Juniors: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
22 de Julio scores 0.67 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Independiente Juniors scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 22 de Julio 33%, Independiente Juniors 78%. Over 2.5: 22 de Julio 22%, Independiente Juniors 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Juniors has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.09. 22 de Julio: 5.2 shots per match, Independiente Juniors: 9.9.
Match halves
22 de Julio: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.22. Independiente Juniors: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
22 de Julio: 0-15 (2 goals). Independiente Juniors: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Juniors are clear favorites: they sit 3rd with a season record of 4-4-1 and 12 goals scored vs 9 conceded, while 22 de Julio are 10th with a 2-3-4 record and 6 scored vs 11 conceded. The form gap is evident — the visitors have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches and average 1.8 points in that period, whereas the hosts have scored only 2 goals, have not won any of their last five and average 0.4 points. Offensively Independiente away average 1.25 goals per match with xG 1.43, 3.75 shots on target and a conversion rate of about 14%, while 22 de Julio at home record 0.6 goals per match, xG 1.21 and only 2 shots on target, and fail to score in 60% of home games. Defensively the hosts are solid at home — conceding 0.4 goals per match and keeping 60% clean sheets, whereas Independiente away concede 1.25 goals and have 25% clean sheets, which may limit the margin of the hosts' defeat. Considering the visitors' superiority in cutting edge and points stability (8 vs 2 goals in the last five and 1.8 vs 0.4 points), the forecast is a win for Independiente Juniors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: 22 de Julio 80% and Independiente Juniors 75%, providing a strong signal that matches typically see goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Independiente has BTTS 100% and scored 8 goals (avg. 1.6 per match), while 22 de Julio has 40% BTTS and only 2 goals in the last 5 (0.4 per match), so the visitors are in better attacking form. xG indicates genuine scoring opportunities: xG for 1.33 for the home side versus 1.43 for the visitors, and xG against 1.18 and 1.44 respectively, which together with 10.4/9.25 shots and 4.4/3.75 shots on target generates chances for both teams. Low clean sheet percentages of 20% (home) and 25% (away) further increase the probability of both teams scoring, therefore I rate BTTS - Yes at approximately 78% versus 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal goal averages are 1.4 for 22 de Julio and 1.25 for Independiente Juniors (total 2.65), while xG indicates 1.33 for the home side and 1.43 for the away side, totaling 2.76 expected goals. Both teams have high Over 1.5 rates: 80% for the home team and 75% for the visitors, and BTTS occurs in 80% of the home team’s matches and 75% of the visitors’ matches, which increases the chance of at least two goals. The 2.5 line has moderate support — Over 2.5 occurred this season in 60% of home matches and 50% of away matches, and the combined xG of 2.76 slightly favors exceeding 2.5, but the home side’s last 5 games show a drop in efficiency (averaging 0.4 goals in the last 5), which lowers confidence. Due to strong seasonal Over 1.5 indicators and the aggregate xG, I recommend the over on the 1.5 line (the strongest signal); I assess the probability of Over 1.5 at ~82%, Over 2.5 at ~58% and Over 3.5 at ~15%. Additionally, the home team averages 4.4 shots on target versus 3.75 for the visitors and has a conversion rate of ~13% vs 14%, which supports the thesis that goal-scoring opportunities will be generated in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears to be the most frequent scenario: the home team were level at the break in 60% of matches, and the visitors in 75% of their games. After the break 22 de Julio holds the advantage — the hosts score an average of 1.0 goals in second halves and win 60% of second halves, while Independiente Juniors score an average of 0.5 goals after the break and win only 25% of such halves; additionally both teams have a high percentage of games where both sides scored (hosts 80%, visitors 75%). Seasonal metrics confirm the home advantage: the home-side average points are 2.2 per match versus 1.25 for the visitors, and the home win rate is 60% compared to 25% for the away side. However, one must account for the hosts’ poorer form in the last five rounds — only 0.4 points per match versus 1.8 points for the visitors — and that the visitors led at the break in 60% of their last five matches, which reduces confidence in the forecast. As a result the most reliable scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1), so I select X/1 as the priority pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 22 de Julio | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 21% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.60 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Juniors is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - 22 de Julio · 1.8 pts / match - Independiente Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Juniors is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - 22 de Julio · 1.33 goals / match - Independiente Juniors
Independiente Juniors is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - 22 de Julio · 1 goals / match - Independiente Juniors
22 de Julio scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Independiente Juniors scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while 22 de Julio keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 22 de Julio
Over / Under - Independiente Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente Juniors is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - 22 de Julio · 1.33 pts / match - Independiente Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
22 de Julio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
22 de Julio
Independiente Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 22 de Julio | Liga | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.89 | 2.02 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 66% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): 22 de Julio 1 - 0 - 1 Independiente Juniors. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 22 de Julio 0:1 Independiente Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 22 de Julio and Independiente Juniors?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches 22 de Julio won 1, Independiente Juniors won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors?
22 de Julio score 0.67 goals per game on average and Independiente Juniors 1.33. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 33% of 22 de Julio's matches and 78% of Independiente Juniors's.
What form are 22 de Julio and Independiente Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games 22 de Julio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Juniors 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors?
The statistical background for 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.