9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG: match statistics
9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
9 de Octubre played Atlético JBG in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
9 de Octubre: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Atlético JBG: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
9 de Octubre scores 1.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Atlético JBG scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 9 de Octubre 0%, Atlético JBG 50%. Over 2.5: 9 de Octubre 0%, Atlético JBG 50%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
9 de Octubre has higher xG: 1.15 vs 0.88. 9 de Octubre: 9.5 shots per match, Atlético JBG: 5.0.
Match halves
9 de Octubre: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Atlético JBG: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
9 de Octubre: 16-30 (1 goals). Atlético JBG: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hosts 9 de Octubre have a clear home advantage: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets in home matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game. Atlético JBG away averages 2.0 goals scored per game but also concedes 2.0 on average and has no clean sheets (0%), while their average xG against is 1.68 versus 0.61 for the hosts. In the last 5 matches 9 de Octubre have scored 9 and conceded 4 (2-2-1), whereas Atlético have 8 scored and 6 conceded (2-2-1), which indicates better defensive stability for the hosts. The visitors register slightly more shots on target (6 vs 5) and higher possession (46% vs 40%), but identical shot conversion rate at 22%, so the possession edge may not translate into more goals against a well-organized defensive opponent. Considering 100% home wins, lower xG against for the hosts (0.61 vs 1.68) and a superior home goal record, I project a 9 de Octubre win; suggested probabilities are 60% for 1, 25% for draw and 15% for 2.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 65% because the away team registers BTTS in 100% of matches season-to-date and averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game (seasonBTTSPercentage_away=100, seasonScoredAVG_away=2.0, seasonConcededAVG_away=2.0), strongly indicating their matches typically produce goals at both ends. The away attack averages 9.0 shots and 6.0 shots on target with season xG=1.38, while the home side only averages 1.0 shot and xG=0.37 per game (shotsAVG_away=9.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_away=6.0, xg_for_avg_away=1.38, shotsAVG_home=1.0, xg_for_avg_home=0.37), increasing the likelihood the visitors will score at least once. Although the hosts have a season 100% clean sheet rate and 0% BTTS (seasonCSPercentage_home=100, seasonBTTSPercentage_home=0, ga_season_home=0.0), their last 5 matches show greater vulnerability: the home side had BTTS in 60% of games and conceded 0.8 goals on average in the last 5 (last5_seasonBTTSPercentage_overall_home=60.0, last5_seasonConcededAVG_overall_home=0.8). Additionally, both teams have averaged 1.8 (home) and 1.6 (away) goals in their last 5 matches, and the league average BTTS is 40% (last5_seasonScoredAVG_overall_home=1.8, last5_seasonScoredAVG_overall_away=1.6, league_seasonBTTSPercentage=40.0), so weighing season-long figures against recent trends leads me to choose Yes (65% vs 35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG analysis and the last five matches, I estimate expected goals: 1.21 for 9 de Octubre and 1.13 for Atlético JBG, totaling 2.34 goals. In their last 5 matches 9 de Octubre scored 9 goals (avg 1.8) and conceded 4 (0.8), Atlético JBG scored 8 goals (1.6) and conceded 6 (1.2), yielding a combined average of 3.4 goals per match. Atlético creates significantly more chances: on average 6.0 shots on target and 9.0 shots per match versus the hosts' 1.0 shots on target and 1.0 shots overall, and the guests’ seasonal xG is 1.38 compared to the hosts’ 0.37. A Poisson model with total lambda=2.34 gives roughly 68% probability for Over 1.5, ~42% for Over 2.5 and ~21% for Over 3.5. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (68%), so I recommend betting Over 1.5 due to Atlético’s creative advantage and both teams’ form (avg 3.4 goals in the last five matches).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
9 de Octubre has a 100% home win rate and averages 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded at home (winPercentage_home=100.0, seasonScoredAVG_home=1.0, seasonConcededAVG_home=0.0), while they have been level at Half-Time in 100% of matches at home (drawingAtHT_home=100.0) — a strong signal for a draw at Half-Time. Atlético JBG creates more chances: xG 1.38 versus the home side’s 0.37 and averages 9.0 shots with 6.0 on target compared to the home team’s 1.0 shots (xg_for_avg_away=1.38 vs xg_for_avg_home=0.37; shotsAVG_away=9.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_away=6.0 vs shotsAVG_home=1.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_home=1.0). Despite the visitors’ offensive advantage, 9 de Octubre exhibits an exceptional 100% shot conversion rate versus Atlético’s 22% (shot_conversion_rate_home=100.0 vs shot_conversion_rate_away=22.0) and collects an average of 3.0 points per home match this season (seasonPPG_home=3.0), which favors the home side to win the match. Both teams average 1.0 second-half goals (AVG_2hg_home=1.0 and AVG_2hg_away=1.0), and the hosts have scored in the 61–75 minute window (goals_scored_min_61_to_75_home=1.0), increasing the likelihood of a turnaround after the break. Therefore the safest scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a 9 de Octubre victory at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 9 de Octubre | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 70% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético JBG is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - 9 de Octubre · 1.5 goals / match - Atlético JBG
9 de Octubre scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Atlético JBG keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Atlético JBG scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
Over / Under - Atlético JBG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
9 de Octubre is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 0.5 pts / match - Atlético JBG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético JBG - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
9 de Octubre
Atlético JBG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 9 de Octubre | Liga | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of 9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 9 de Octubre 1:2 Atlético JBG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before 9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG?
9 de Octubre score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético JBG 1.50. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 0% of 9 de Octubre's matches and 50% of Atlético JBG's.
What form are 9 de Octubre and Atlético JBG in?
Over the last 5 games 9 de Octubre have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlético JBG 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.