9 de Octubre vs Cuniburo: match statistics
9 de Octubre vs Cuniburo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
9 de Octubre played Cuniburo in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 9 June 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
9 de Octubre: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Cuniburo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
9 de Octubre scores 1.23 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Cuniburo scores 1.38 and concedes 0.69. League average: 1.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 9 de Octubre 31%, Cuniburo 38%. Over 2.5: 9 de Octubre 31%, Cuniburo 38%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
9 de Octubre has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.20. 9 de Octubre: 10.4 shots per match, Cuniburo: 8.4.
Match halves
9 de Octubre: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.69. Cuniburo: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
9 de Octubre: 76-90+ (6 goals). Cuniburo: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.96 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
9 de Octubre is the favorite based on strong home metrics: 71% home win rate, averaging 2.0 goals scored per home match and 0% scoreless home games, with an average of 4.86 shots on target and xG of 1.55. Cuniburo have a solid away defense (0.83 goals conceded and xG against 0.61 on average) but struggle offensively on the road — only 0.67 average goals, 50% of away matches without scoring and just a 17% away win rate. In their last 5 matches Cuniburo scored 9 goals and are 3-1-1 (approximately 2.0 points per game), while 9 de Octubre have 1 win and 4 draws in their last 5 (about 1.4 points per game), giving the visitors some momentum but not enough to nullify the home side's advantage. Additionally, the hosts generate significantly more quality chances — 13.29 shots per home match versus Cuniburo’s 4.0 shots away; despite the visitors having a higher shot conversion rate (20% vs 15%), the low volume of attempts limits their realistic chances. Based on this, I forecast a home win; probability distribution: 60% home win, 25% draw, 15% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
9 de Octubre scores an average of 2.0 goals per match and concedes only 0.57, has 57% clean sheets and a season BTTS rate of 29%, which strongly indicates a defensive advantage for the home side. Cuniburo averages 0.67 goals and concedes 0.83 per game this season, although in the last 5 matches they scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and have a 40% BTTS rate in the short run, showing an improvement in the visitors' offense. xG and shot data confirm the asymmetry: home xG is 1.58 versus Cuniburo’s defensive xG 0.61, while Cuniburo xG is 0.66 against the home defense xG 0.93; additionally the hosts register 5.29 shots on target on average versus 2.2 for Cuniburo, so 9 de Octubre creates significantly more chances. Also, 43% of 9 de Octubre’s home matches are over 2.5 goals without BTTS, while only 14% are over 2.5 with BTTS, suggesting that high-scoring home games often do not involve the opposition scoring. In light of these numbers I predict No BTTS as the more likely outcome: 70% for 'no' versus 30% for 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
9 de Octubre scores an average of 2.00 goals per match with an xG of 1.58, while Cuniburo records 0.67 goals and xG 0.66; the home side averages 12.86 shots (5.29 on target) versus the visitors' 4.0 (2.2 on target), confirming a clear offensive edge. Averaging xG and season goals/opponent metrics yields a forecast of 1.22 goals for the home team and 0.73 for the visitors, totaling 1.95 expected goals. With mu = 1.95, a Poisson distribution gives ~58% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), supporting an Over 1.5 signal and consistent with the home season rate of matches over 1.5 at 86% (Cuniburo 50%). The chance of Over 2.5 is ~31% (Under 69%), and Over 3.5 ~13% (Under 87%), which correlates with seasonal figures: home Over 2.5 57%/away 17% and home Over 3.5 14%/away 0%. Considering 9 de Octubre's offensive dominance and the strongest statistical signal from the above calculations, I recommend playing Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: Over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
9 de Octubre led at the break in 4 of 7 matches (57%), averaging 0.86 goals in the first half versus Cuniburo’s 0.33. The hosts have a seasonal goals average of 2.00 compared to the visitors’ 0.67, higher xG at 1.58 versus 0.66, and on average 5.29 shots on target versus 2.2, indicating an advantage in chance creation. Cuniburo were level at halftime in 5 of 6 games (83%), but have only a 17% win rate this season, so they rarely convert a drawn HT into a final victory. Given the hosts’ offensive superiority and that 9 de Octubre win 57% of matches, the strongest signal is the hosts leading at the break and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 9 de Octubre | Cuniburo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
9 de Octubre is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 1.6 pts / match - Cuniburo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cuniburo is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - 9 de Octubre · 1.38 goals / match - Cuniburo
9 de Octubre scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Cuniburo keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Cuniburo scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
Over / Under - Cuniburo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cuniburo is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 1.69 pts / match - Cuniburo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cuniburo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
9 de Octubre
Cuniburo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 9 de Octubre | Liga | Cuniburo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.92 | 1.96 | ▲ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: 9 de Octubre 1 - 0 - 0 Cuniburo. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 9 de Octubre vs Cuniburo?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 9 de Octubre 2:1 Cuniburo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before 9 de Octubre vs Cuniburo?
9 de Octubre score 1.23 goals per game on average and Cuniburo 1.38. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 31% of 9 de Octubre's matches and 38% of Cuniburo's.
What form are 9 de Octubre and Cuniburo in?
Over the last 5 games 9 de Octubre have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Cuniburo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 9 de Octubre vs Cuniburo?
The statistical background for 9 de Octubre vs Cuniburo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


