9 de Octubre vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: match statistics
9 de Octubre vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
9 de Octubre played Deportivo Cuenca Juniors in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
9 de Octubre: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
9 de Octubre scores 1.18 and concedes 0.55 goals per match. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores 0.82 and concedes 0.91. League average: 1.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 9 de Octubre 27%, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 27%. Over 2.5: 9 de Octubre 27%, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 45%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
9 de Octubre has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.30. 9 de Octubre: 10.0 shots per match, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 10.7.
Match halves
9 de Octubre: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.27.
Goals by minute
9 de Octubre: 76-90+ (6 goals). Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.97 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
9 de Octubre is the clear favorite: they sit 1st and have won 83% of home matches, possess a +6 home goal difference and average 1.83 goals per game, while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors score only 0.67 goals away. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 3 wins and 2 draws (avg. 2.2 points per game), scoring 5 and conceding 1, whereas the visitors over the same period have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (avg. 1.0 point per game) with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded. Chance quality also favors the hosts: at home they average 13 shots and 5.17 on target with a 14% conversion and xG 1.58, versus 10.67 shots, 3.33 on target, 6% conversion and xG 1.23 for the visitors away. Defensively 9 de Octubre also performs better — conceding 0.83 goals on average at home and keeping a 50% clean sheet rate, while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors concede 1.0 goals on average away, have xG against 1.66 and failed to score in 50% of their away matches. Given the superiority in created chances, higher efficiency (14% vs 6%) and better form (avg. 2.2 vs 1.0 points per game), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates BTTS is unlikely: season BTTS rates are 20% for 9 de Octubre and 33% for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, both below the league average of 46%. In the last 5 matches the trend is even clearer — home side has BTTS in 20% of games, visitors 0%, and average goals scored are 1.0 (home) vs 0.6 (away), which limits the probability that both teams will score. Home side have 13 goals for and concede 6 (0.8 per match) with 60% clean sheets this season, while visitors have 9 scored and 10 conceded (1.0 per match), and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches (1.2 per match). xG paints a similar picture: xG_for 1.37 for home vs 1.23 for away and xG_against 0.99 vs 1.66, and shot conversion 9% vs 6% amplifies the home advantage but does not materially improve the away side’s scoring ability. Due to low historical BTTS, the visitors’ 0 BTTS in their last 5 matches and the high clean sheet rate for the home team, I assign 25% probability to BTTS and 75% to No BTTS; recommendation: 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast yields total expected goals of 2.63 (9 de Octubre 1.52 vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1.11) calculated from xG: home 1.37 and away 1.23, and xG against 1.66 for the visitors and 0.99 for the hosts. 9 de Octubre averages 4.4 shots on target with a 9% conversion rate, while the visitors have 3.33 SOT and a 6% conversion, favoring the home side in goal generation. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches (1.2 per match), and 9 de Octubre have scored 5 (1.0 per match), increasing the likelihood of goals and breaching simple goal thresholds. Season metrics show the home team has Over 2.5 in 60% of matches vs 33% for the visitors, and Over 3.5 is 0% for both, so Over 2.5 is moderately likely while Over 3.5 is highly unlikely. Consequently the strongest signal from the data is backing Over 1.5 (high probability 86%), with caution advised on Over 2.5 (58%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time statistics strongly indicate a draw: the home team were level at the break in 60% of matches, and the away team in 67% of their fixtures, with average first-half goals of 0.6 (home) versus 0.5 (away). In the second half the advantage lies with the home side: they earn an average of 1.6 points after the break versus 0.67 for the visitors, and the away team concedes an average of 0.83 goals in the second half, suggesting a turnaround in favour of the home team after the interval. The home side also have higher xG of 1.37 compared to 1.23 for the visitors and more shots on target 4.4 versus 3.33, confirming superior quality of attacking situations. Taking form and statistics into account (last 5: home 3 wins and 2 draws, 60% wins vs away 20% wins), the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (HT/FT: X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 9 de Octubre | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
9 de Octubre is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 1 pts / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
9 de Octubre is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - 9 de Octubre · 0.82 goals / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
9 de Octubre is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.55 goals / match - 9 de Octubre · 0.91 goals / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
9 de Octubre scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 64% (7 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
Over / Under - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 1.45 pts / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
9 de Octubre
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 9 de Octubre | Liga | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.73 | 1.97 | ▼ 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 47% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 64% | 34% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 64% | 65% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: 9 de Octubre 0 - 1 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 9 de Octubre vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 9 de Octubre 3:3 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before 9 de Octubre vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
9 de Octubre score 1.18 goals per game on average and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0.82. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 27% of 9 de Octubre's matches and 27% of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors's.
What form are 9 de Octubre and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games 9 de Octubre have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 9 de Octubre vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.