AaB vs Aarhus Fremad: match statistics
AaB presents decidedly better disposition in home matches, winning 56% of meetings and maintaining a positive goal difference (+8). The hosts score an average of 2.22 goals per home match, which is a significantly better result than Aarhus Fremad's 1.22 goals away. The guests have very poor away efficiency with just 11% wins and a negative goal difference (-3). Aarhus Fremad draws as many as 56% of away matches, suggesting they might put up resistance, however, AaB's advantage playing at home is clear enough that the hosts are distinct favorites. The close xG values of both teams (1.6 vs 1.69) and similar form in the last five matches (PPG 1.2) indicate it could be a balanced meeting, but the home field factor should tip the scales of victory to AaB's side.
AaB vs Aarhus Fremad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AaB played Aarhus Fremad in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AaB: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Aarhus Fremad: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AaB scores 1.68 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Aarhus Fremad scores 1.63 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AaB 53%, Aarhus Fremad 63%. Over 2.5: AaB 68%, Aarhus Fremad 58%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Aarhus Fremad has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.52. AaB: 13.5 shots per match, Aarhus Fremad: 13.5.
Match halves
AaB: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.21. Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
AaB: 61-75 (9 goals). Aarhus Fremad: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB presents decidedly better disposition in home matches, winning 56% of meetings and maintaining a positive goal difference (+8). The hosts score an average of 2.22 goals per home match, which is a significantly better result than Aarhus Fremad's 1.22 goals away. The guests have very poor away efficiency with just 11% wins and a negative goal difference (-3). Aarhus Fremad draws as many as 56% of away matches, suggesting they might put up resistance, however, AaB's advantage playing at home is clear enough that the hosts are distinct favorites. The close xG values of both teams (1.6 vs 1.69) and similar form in the last five matches (PPG 1.2) indicate it could be a balanced meeting, but the home field factor should tip the scales of victory to AaB's side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AaB | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - AaB · 1.37 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad
AaB scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Aarhus Fremad scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AaB
Over / Under - Aarhus Fremad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - AaB · 1.11 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AaB
Aarhus Fremad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| AaB | Liga | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.16 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 57% | • 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AaB 0 - 0 - 1 Aarhus Fremad. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AaB vs Aarhus Fremad?
The 1st Division match finished AaB 0:1 Aarhus Fremad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Aarhus Fremad?
AaB score 1.68 goals per game on average and Aarhus Fremad 1.63. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 53% of AaB's matches and 63% of Aarhus Fremad's.
What form are AaB and Aarhus Fremad in?
Over the last 5 games AaB have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Aarhus Fremad 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Aarhus Fremad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AaB vs Aarhus Fremad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.