Denmark - 1st DivisionAalborg Portland ParkData current as of 13 August 2026

AaB vs Fredericia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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AaB vs Fredericia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AaB play Fredericia in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 14 August 2026. Venue: Aalborg Portland Park.

Current form

AaB: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Fredericia: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match.

Goal statistics

AaB scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Fredericia scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AaB 67%, Fredericia 67%. Over 2.5: AaB 33%, Fredericia 33%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Fredericia has higher xG: 2.96 vs 1.42. AaB: 13.3 shots per match, Fredericia: 26.0.

Match halves

AaB: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. Fredericia: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.67.

Goals by minute

AaB: 0-15 (1 goals). Fredericia: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.60)
(3.30)
(2.30)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match1.67
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals conceded / match0.67
AaBFredericia
57%Average possession61%
AaBFredericia
3.67Shots on target / match10.67
AaBFredericia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.33Shots per match26
AaBFredericia
3.67Shots on target10.67
AaBFredericia
10%Shot conversion6.4%
AaBFredericia
57%Possession61%
AaBFredericia
1.42xG for2.96
AaBFredericia
1.34xG against0.89
AaBFredericia

Shooting quality

AaB: BalancedFredericia: Dominant
AaBFredericia
Accuracy (shots on target)28%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.16

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AaB is 40% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - AaB · 1.67 pts / match - Fredericia

AaB
WWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%
Fredericia
WDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W67% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 2.96Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fredericia is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - AaB · 1.67 goals / match - Fredericia

AaB scoring profile: very strong

AaB scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Fredericia scoring profile: very strong

Fredericia scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)5
AaBFredericia
2Goals conceded (season)2
AaBFredericia
2Average goals in match2.33
AaBFredericia
4Goals scored (last 5)5
AaBFredericia
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
AaBFredericia

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
AaBFredericia
33%2 goals33%
AaBFredericia
0%3 goals33%
AaBFredericia
0%4 goals0%
AaBFredericia

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
AaBFredericia
0%2 goals0%
AaBFredericia
0%3 goals0%
AaBFredericia
0%4 goals0%
AaBFredericia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
AaBFredericia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AaBFredericia
33%Scored in both halves0%
AaBFredericia

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
AaBFredericia
67%BTTS - last 567%
AaBFredericia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AaBFredericia

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
AaBFredericia
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
AaBFredericia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AaB is 606% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / match - AaB · 0.33 pts / match - Fredericia

AaB - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Fredericia - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)0.33
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0
AaBFredericia
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
AaBFredericia
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.67
AaBFredericia
100%Clean sheet before half-time33%
AaBFredericia
33%No goal before half-time100%
AaBFredericia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)3
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.67
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0
AaBFredericia
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.67
AaBFredericia
33%Clean sheet after half-time100%
AaBFredericia
33%No goal after half-time0%
AaBFredericia

AaB - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fredericia - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AaB - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.331.33
Goals scored / match0.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.00.7
Average goals in match0.71.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Fredericia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.333.00
Goals scored / match0.01.7
Goals conceded / match0.70.0
Average goals in match0.71.7
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet33%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AaB
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Fredericia
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
72%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AaB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Fredericia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+2.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.7
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

AaBLigaFredericia
Average goals in match 2.003.00 2.33
Both teams scored 67%72% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%56% 33%
Clean sheets 33%14% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%78% 67%
Goal after half-time 100%78% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
14%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do AaB and Fredericia play?

AaB face Fredericia on 14 August 2026 in 1st Division at Aalborg Portland Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Fredericia?

AaB score 1.33 goals per game on average and Fredericia 1.67. The 1st Division average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of AaB's matches and 67% of Fredericia's.

What form are AaB and Fredericia in?

Over the last 5 games AaB have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Fredericia 1-2-0 (1.67 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Fredericia?

The statistical background for AaB vs Fredericia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.