AaB vs Hillerød: match statistics
AaB presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.13 goals per match in home games, which, combined with a 15% conversion rate and an average of 14.5 shots per match, constitutes a solid offensive foundation. Hillerød, despite sitting in second position, has weaker away statistics – only 44% wins on the road and a negative goal difference of -2. The visitors concede an average of 1.56 goals in away matches, and their average xG (1.34) is lower than AaB's in home matches (1.63). The possession advantage for the hosts (53% vs 47%) and better efficiency at home argue for an AaB victory, although the solid form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 points per match each) suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
AaB vs Hillerød: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AaB played Hillerød in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
AaB: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hillerød: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AaB scores 1.61 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Hillerød scores 1.50 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AaB 50%, Hillerød 78%. Over 2.5: AaB 67%, Hillerød 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
AaB has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.42. AaB: 13.7 shots per match, Hillerød: 11.9.
Match halves
AaB: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.11. Hillerød: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
AaB: 76-90+ (8 goals). Hillerød: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.13 goals per match in home games, which, combined with a 15% conversion rate and an average of 14.5 shots per match, constitutes a solid offensive foundation. Hillerød, despite sitting in second position, has weaker away statistics – only 44% wins on the road and a negative goal difference of -2. The visitors concede an average of 1.56 goals in away matches, and their average xG (1.34) is lower than AaB's in home matches (1.63). The possession advantage for the hosts (53% vs 47%) and better efficiency at home argue for an AaB victory, although the solid form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 points per match each) suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AaB | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - AaB · 1.5 goals / match - Hillerød
Hillerød is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - AaB · 1.28 goals / match - Hillerød
AaB scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Hillerød scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AaB
Over / Under - Hillerød
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hillerød is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - AaB · 1.5 pts / match - Hillerød
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AaB
Hillerød
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| AaB | Liga | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.76 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AaB 0 - 1 - 0 Hillerød. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AaB vs Hillerød?
The 1st Division match finished AaB 3:3 Hillerød. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Hillerød?
AaB score 1.61 goals per game on average and Hillerød 1.50. The 1st Division average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of AaB's matches and 78% of Hillerød's.
What form are AaB and Hillerød in?
Over the last 5 games AaB have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hillerød 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Hillerød?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AaB vs Hillerød: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.