AaB vs Middelfart: match statistics
AaB vs Middelfart: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AaB play Middelfart in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
AaB: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Middelfart: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AaB scores 1.56 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Middelfart scores 1.00 and concedes 2.41. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AaB 56%, Middelfart 59%. Over 2.5: AaB 56%, Middelfart 72%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
AaB has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.22. AaB: 13.1 shots per match, Middelfart: 9.9.
Match halves
AaB: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00. Middelfart: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
AaB: 76-90+ (14 goals). Middelfart: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 3-0-0. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1) — AaB at home have won 50% of their matches, score an average of 2.00 goals per game and register 5.36 shots on target, whereas Middelfart win only 7% of away matches and score on average 0.79 goals. In the last 5 fixtures AaB have a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 9 goals and averaging 2.2 points per game, while Middelfart have lost their last 5 matches, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 16 (0 points). The away defence is highly vulnerable — Middelfart concede 2.43 goals per away game with xG against 1.95, whereas AaB at home concede 1.29 with xG against 1.6, indicating the hosts limit the quality of opponents’ chances. Additionally AaB are more efficient (conversion 16% vs 8%), have greater possession (52% vs 44%) and a much lower share of goalless matches (FTS 21% vs 43%), which increases the likelihood that the hosts will create and convert more chances. Considering the difference in goals per game (2.00 vs 0.79), the difference in goals conceded (1.29 vs 2.43) and the difference in goals over the last 5 matches (9–2), I give AaB a decisive advantage and higher chances to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AaB | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AaB is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - AaB · 0.6 pts / match - Middelfart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - AaB · 1 goals / match - Middelfart
AaB is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - AaB · 2.41 goals / match - Middelfart
AaB scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 32 matches).
Middelfart scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AaB
Over / Under — Middelfart
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - AaB · 0.88 pts / match - Middelfart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AaB
Middelfart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| AaB | Liga | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.41 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AaB 3 - 0 - 0 Middelfart. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AaB vs Middelfart?
The 1st Division match finished AaB 1:3 Middelfart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AaB and Middelfart?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AaB won 3, Middelfart won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Middelfart?
AaB score 1.56 goals per game on average and Middelfart 1.00. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of AaB's matches and 59% of Middelfart's.
What form are AaB and Middelfart in?
Over the last 5 games AaB have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Middelfart 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Middelfart?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.