Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aarau played Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 12 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Aarau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Étoile Carouge: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aarau scores 1.94 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Étoile Carouge scores 0.75 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aarau 56%, Étoile Carouge 38%. Over 2.5: Aarau 63%, Étoile Carouge 31%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Aarau has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.30. Aarau: 16.4 shots per match, Étoile Carouge: 11.6.

Match halves

Aarau: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.13. Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

Aarau: 76-90+ (9 goals). Étoile Carouge: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Challenge League: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
AarauÉtoile Carouge
9Shots9
AarauÉtoile Carouge
6Shots on target2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.41xG1.11
AarauÉtoile Carouge
2Corners2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
58Dangerous attacks55
AarauÉtoile Carouge
18Fouls12
AarauÉtoile Carouge
4Cards2
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.94Goals scored / match0.75
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.13Goals conceded / match1.31
AarauÉtoile Carouge
47%Average possession50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
5.88Shots on target / match3.31
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.38Shots per match11.56
AarauÉtoile Carouge
5.88Shots on target3.31
AarauÉtoile Carouge
11.8%Shot conversion6.5%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
47%Possession50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.8xG for1.3
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.49xG against1.47
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Shooting quality

Aarau: AttackingÉtoile Carouge: Balanced
AarauÉtoile Carouge
Accuracy (shots on target)36%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aarau is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Aarau · 1 pts / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau
WLLWW
Season result split
81% W0% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-0-3
2.44 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.12Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Étoile Carouge
WDLLD
Season result split
19% W25% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-9
0.81 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aarau is 159% better for: goals scored per match.

1.94 goals / match - Aarau · 0.75 goals / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Aarau · 1.31 goals / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau scoring profile: very strong

Aarau scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

Étoile Carouge scoring profile: mixed

Étoile Carouge scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

31Goals scored (season)12
AarauÉtoile Carouge
18Goals conceded (season)21
AarauÉtoile Carouge
3.06Average goals in match2.06
AarauÉtoile Carouge
7Goals scored (last 5)2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
63%2 goals19%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
25%3 goals6%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
6%4 goals0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal75%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
19%2 goals44%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
13%3 goals13%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
13%4 goals0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time6%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
6%BTTS in both halves0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
63%Scored in both halves13%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
80%BTTS - last 50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarau is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.88 pts / match - Aarau · 1.06 pts / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing
Étoile Carouge - half-time state
19% leading50% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.88Points per match (1st half)1.06
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.31
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.38Average goals (1st half)0.75
AarauÉtoile Carouge
63%Clean sheet before half-time63%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
31%No goal before half-time75%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

After half-time (2nd half)

2.06Points per match (2nd half)0.81
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.69Average goals (2nd half)1.31
AarauÉtoile Carouge
56%Clean sheet after half-time38%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
13%No goal after half-time63%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Aarau - second-half results

56% W38% D6% L
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 81%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Étoile Carouge - second-half results

19% W25% D56% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aarau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Étoile Carouge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aarau
ScoredConceded
8
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
9
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Étoile Carouge
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aarau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Étoile Carouge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

AarauLigaÉtoile Carouge
Average goals in match 3.062.83 2.06
Both teams scored 56%53% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%56% 31%
Clean sheets 38%27% 25%
Goal before half-time 81%70% 56%
Goal after half-time 94%81% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AarauGoalElias FiletAssist: Valon Fazliu
  2. Étoile CarougeYellow cardBruno Caslei
  3. Étoile CarougeGoalCleilton Monteiro da Costa
  4. Étoile CarougeSubstitutionOn: Mathis HolcbecherOff: Mattia Walker
  5. AarauYellow cardHenri Koide
  6. AarauGoalHenri Koide
  7. Étoile CarougeSubstitutionOn: Florian HysenajOff: Luc Essiena
  8. AarauYellow cardRyan Kessler
  9. AarauYellow cardLinus Obexer
  10. Étoile CarougeSubstitutionOn: Alexandre Dias PatrícioOff: Cleilton Monteiro da Costa
  11. AarauSubstitutionOn: Daniel Afriyie BarniehOff: Henri Koide
  12. AarauYellow cardMarcin Tom Dickenmann
  13. AarauSubstitutionOn: Olivier JäckleOff: Elias Filet
  14. Étoile CarougeYellow cardSamuel Fankhauser

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Marijan DrmicMatches officiated: 13
4.46Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 262%Home wins23%Draws15%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Aarau 1 - 0 - 0 Étoile Carouge. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Étoile Carouge
1 : 3
Aarau

FAQ

What was the result of Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

The Challenge League match finished Aarau 2:1 Étoile Carouge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Aarau score 1.94 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 0.75. The Challenge League average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Aarau's matches and 38% of Étoile Carouge's.

What form are Aarau and Étoile Carouge in?

Over the last 5 games Aarau have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.