Aarau vs Wil: match statistics
Aarau is displaying impressive home form with an 80% win rate and as many as 60% of their matches ending in a clean sheet on their own turf. The hosts occupy a high 2nd place in the table, boasting a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches and an advantage in xG (1.81 to 1.35). Wil performs significantly worse on the road with only a 20% win rate, 60% losses, and a negative goal difference of -9, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match. The visitors' recent form in their last five away matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats) coupled with a low shot conversion rate (7%) further weakens their chances. Considering all statistics, Aarau holds a decisive advantage and should secure a confident victory in front of their home crowd.
Aarau vs Wil: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aarau played Wil in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Aarau: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Wil: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aarau scores 1.90 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Wil scores 0.85 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aarau 60%, Wil 50%. Over 2.5: Aarau 65%, Wil 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Aarau has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.43. Aarau: 15.8 shots per match, Wil: 12.4.
Match halves
Aarau: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.05. Wil: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Aarau: 0-15 (11 goals). Wil: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aarau is displaying impressive home form with an 80% win rate and as many as 60% of their matches ending in a clean sheet on their own turf. The hosts occupy a high 2nd place in the table, boasting a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches and an advantage in xG (1.81 to 1.35). Wil performs significantly worse on the road with only a 20% win rate, 60% losses, and a negative goal difference of -9, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match. The visitors' recent form in their last five away matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats) coupled with a low shot conversion rate (7%) further weakens their chances. Considering all statistics, Aarau holds a decisive advantage and should secure a confident victory in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aarau | Wil | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarau is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Aarau · 1.6 pts / match - Wil
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarau is 124% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Aarau · 0.85 goals / match - Wil
Aarau is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Aarau · 1.55 goals / match - Wil
Aarau scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Wil keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Wil scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aarau
Over / Under - Wil
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aarau is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Aarau · 1.2 pts / match - Wil
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wil - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aarau
Wil
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Aarau | Liga | Wil | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aarau 2 - 0 - 0 Wil. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aarau vs Wil?
The Challenge League match finished Aarau 2:2 Wil. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarau and Wil?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aarau won 2, Wil won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarau vs Wil?
Aarau score 1.90 goals per game on average and Wil 0.85. The Challenge League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Aarau's matches and 50% of Wil's.
What form are Aarau and Wil in?
Over the last 5 games Aarau have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Wil 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarau vs Wil?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aarau vs Wil: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.