Aarau vs Yverdon Sport: match statistics
Aarau vs Yverdon Sport: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aarau played Yverdon Sport in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 15 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Aarau: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Yverdon Sport: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aarau scores 2.14 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Yverdon Sport scores 2.09 and concedes 1.31. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aarau 63%, Yverdon Sport 60%. Over 2.5: Aarau 69%, Yverdon Sport 74%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Aarau has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.53. Aarau: 16.8 shots per match, Yverdon Sport: 13.3.
Match halves
Aarau: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.17. Yverdon Sport: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.26.
Goals by minute
Aarau: 0-15 (18 goals). Yverdon Sport: 76-90+ (25 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aarau sit first with 25 wins and 75 goals scored; in the last 5 matches they have 15 goals, 4 wins and 1 draw. At home Aarau averages 2.0 goals scored, concedes 0.82 and keeps a clean sheet in 53% of games; home xG is 2.08 versus xG against 1.34, indicating superiority in quality scoring chances. Yverdon sit 3rd with 20 wins and 73 goals this season; in the last 5 they have 12 goals with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss; away they average 2.12 goals scored but concede 1.29 and have only 29% clean sheets. Aarau average 18.82 shots and 7.06 shots on target at home, while Yverdon have 12.94 shots and 5.18 on target away; despite the visitors having more possession (53% vs 46%), they generate less xG (1.53 vs 2.08), which favors the hosts. Considering Aarau’s 76% home win rate and superior defense (0.82 conceded vs 1.29), I forecast a home win: probability Aarau win 63%, draw 22% and Yverdon win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the BTTS - Yes scenario — season BTTS rates are 56% for Aarau and 65% for Yverdon Sport, with league BTTS at 56%. In the last 5 matches the trend is stronger: Aarau has BTTS 80% and averages 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Yverdon has BTTS 60% with averages of 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Both teams have season goal averages of 2.06 and 2.12 while conceding 1.33 and 1.29 respectively, with xG of 1.53 for both and xG against 1.42/1.43, which indicates realistic chances for goals from both sides. Additionally, matches involving these teams are often high-scoring — over 2.5 occurs 61% for the home side and 88% for the away side, and the over2.5 + BTTS combination is 56% and 65%, further increasing the probability of mutual scoring. Clean sheets are less likely for the away team (29% vs 39% for the home), so the strongest data signal supports BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aarau scores an average of 2.06 goals at home and Yverdon averages 2.12 goals away, while Aarau concedes 1.33 at home and Yverdon concedes 1.29 away, which when averaged yields an expected ~1.58 goals for Aarau and ~1.60 for Yverdon (total 3.18). xG also confirms the offensive profile: xG_for is 1.53 for both teams, and xG_against is 1.42–1.43, so a projection around 3.2 goals is consistent with the quality of chances. Seasonal shares show over 1.5 occurs in 78% of Aarau’s matches and 88% of Yverdon’s, and over 2.5 in 61% and 88%; in the last 5 matches Aarau has over 2.5 in 100% and Yverdon in 80%, which strengthens the signal for more than 2.5 goals. Therefore I assign a very high probability to Over 1.5 (~93%) and a significant probability to Over 2.5 (~78%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (~42%). Recommendation: the best and strongest line to play is Over 1.5 given the expected 3.18 goals and the consistent seasonal rates of 78–88% for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest first-half signal favors Yverdon: the visitors led at the break in 9 matches (53%), while Aarau were leading in only 4 (22%), and the average goals by half-time are 0.94 for the visitors versus 0.72 for the hosts. However, after the break Aarau statistically dominate — the hosts’ average goals in the second half are 2.11 versus 1.76 for the visitors. Seasonally the hosts earn on average 1.78 points in second halves versus 1.53 points for the visitors, and in the last 5 matches the home side have averaged 2.6 points after the break compared to 1.4 for the visitors, demonstrating Aarau’s ability to complete a turnaround. Additionally, Aarau have a higher overall win rate this season (61% vs 53%), increasing the likelihood of a comeback after half-time. Therefore the most consistent HT/FT scenario is 2/1 — Yverdon lead at Half-Time, and Aarau win after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aarau | Yverdon Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarau is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Aarau · 2 pts / match - Yverdon Sport
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarau scores in 94% of matches (33 of 35 matches), while Yverdon Sport keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
Yverdon Sport scores in 89% of matches (31 of 35 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aarau
Over / Under - Yverdon Sport
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Yverdon Sport - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (25 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aarau
Yverdon Sport
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Aarau | Liga | Yverdon Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.43 | 3.05 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 25% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aarau 2 - 0 - 1 Yverdon Sport. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
The Challenge League match finished Aarau 2:2 Yverdon Sport. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarau and Yverdon Sport?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aarau won 2, Yverdon Sport won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
Aarau score 2.14 goals per game on average and Yverdon Sport 2.09. The Challenge League average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Aarau's matches and 60% of Yverdon Sport's.
What form are Aarau and Yverdon Sport in?
Over the last 5 games Aarau have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Yverdon Sport 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarau vs Yverdon Sport?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aarau vs Yverdon Sport: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.