Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aarhus Fremad play Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: JYSK park.
Current form
Aarhus Fremad: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Esbjerg: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aarhus Fremad scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Esbjerg scores 1.30 and concedes 2.20. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aarhus Fremad 60%, Esbjerg 70%. Over 2.5: Aarhus Fremad 50%, Esbjerg 70%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Esbjerg has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.27. Aarhus Fremad: 11.6 shots per match, Esbjerg: 11.9.
Match halves
Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50. Esbjerg: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Aarhus Fremad: 0-15 (3 goals). Esbjerg: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aarhus Fremad | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarhus Fremad is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad · 0.4 pts / match - Esbjerg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esbjerg is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.3 goals / match - Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 2.2 goals / match - Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Esbjerg scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aarhus Fremad
Over / Under - Esbjerg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Aarhus Fremad | Liga | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.10 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aarhus Fremad 0 - 1 - 1 Esbjerg. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg play?
Aarhus Fremad face Esbjerg on 16 October 2026 in 1st Division at JYSK park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aarhus Fremad won 0, Esbjerg won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.00 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.30. The 1st Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Aarhus Fremad's matches and 70% of Esbjerg's.
What form are Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg in?
Over the last 5 games Aarhus Fremad have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Esbjerg 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.