Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aarhus Fremad played HB Køge in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Aarhus Fremad: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. HB Køge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aarhus Fremad scores 1.50 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. HB Køge scores 1.19 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aarhus Fremad 56%, HB Køge 63%. Over 2.5: Aarhus Fremad 56%, HB Køge 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Aarhus Fremad has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.28. Aarhus Fremad: 12.7 shots per match, HB Køge: 11.6.

Match halves

Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.81. HB Køge: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Aarhus Fremad: 46-60 (6 goals). HB Køge: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
14Shots13
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
5Shots on target6
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
1.62xG1.57
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
8Corners6
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
54Dangerous attacks45
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
5Fouls13
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
0Cards3
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Aarhus FremadHB Køge
1.5Goals scored / match1.19
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
1.38Goals conceded / match1.88
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
57%Average possession41%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
4.81Shots on target / match3.75
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.69Shots per match11.56
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
4.81Shots on target3.75
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
11.8%Shot conversion10.3%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
57%Possession41%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
1.53xG for1.28
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
1.46xG against1.69
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

Shooting quality

Aarhus Fremad: BalancedHB Køge: Balanced
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HB Køge is 250% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.4 pts / match - HB Køge

Aarhus Fremad
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-6
1.13 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
HB Køge
LWLWD
Season result split
31% W13% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aarhus Fremad is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.19 goals / match - HB Køge

Aarhus Fremad is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.88 goals / match - HB Køge

Aarhus Fremad scoring profile: very strong

Aarhus Fremad scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).

HB Køge scoring profile: very strong

HB Køge scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

24Goals scored (season)19
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
22Goals conceded (season)30
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
2.88Average goals in match3.06
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal75%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
44%2 goals38%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
31%3 goals6%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
6%4 goals0%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal88%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
50%2 goals63%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
6%3 goals31%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
0%4 goals6%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time6%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
13%BTTS in both halves0%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
38%Scored in both halves25%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarhus Fremad - half-time state
19% leading50% draw31% trailing
HB Køge - half-time state
25% leading31% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.06
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.31
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.19
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
50%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
63%No goal before half-time69%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.88
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
38%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge
38%No goal after half-time31%
Aarhus FremadHB Køge

Aarhus Fremad - second-half results

19% W63% D19% L
17
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

HB Køge - second-half results

44% W19% D38% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aarhus Fremad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
HB Køge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aarhus Fremad
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

HB Køge
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
6
46-60
3
5
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aarhus Fremad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

HB Køge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

Aarhus FremadLigaHB Køge
Average goals in match 2.882.80 3.06
Both teams scored 56%56% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%57% 63%
Clean sheets 19%25% 13%
Goal before half-time 69%77% 69%
Goal after half-time 75%81% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. HB KøgeYellow cardGabriel Larsen
  2. HB KøgeYellow cardSebastian Larsen
  3. HB KøgeGoalIfenna Dorgu
  4. Aarhus FremadSubstitutionOn: Simon BækgårdOff: Mathias Nordestgaard Kubel
  5. Aarhus FremadSubstitutionOn: Marcus BerthelsenOff: Andreas Pisani Laugesen
  6. HB KøgeSubstitutionOn: Erkan SemovskiOff: Christian Tue Jensen
  7. HB KøgeYellow cardMads Westergren

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jacob Stausgaard KobberrødMatches officiated: 13
3.23Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 254%Home wins15%Draws31%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Aarhus Fremad 0 - 0 - 1 HB Køge. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

HB Køge
2 : 1
Aarhus Fremad

FAQ

What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge?

The 1st Division match finished Aarhus Fremad 2:2 HB Køge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge?

Aarhus Fremad score 1.50 goals per game on average and HB Køge 1.19. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Aarhus Fremad's matches and 63% of HB Køge's.

What form are Aarhus Fremad and HB Køge in?

Over the last 5 games Aarhus Fremad have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and HB Køge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.