Aarhus Fremad vs Horsens: match statistics
Aarhus Fremad presents strong home form with a 40% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per home match. The hosts boast a better goal difference in home games (+8) and a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 9%). Horsens has a solid away defense (0.7 goals conceded on average), but a much weaker offense (1.1 goals per game) and a staggering 40% of matches failing to score. The recent form of both teams is balanced (7 points each from 5 matches), but the hosts' xG advantage (1.55 vs 1.48) and Aarhus's home statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter with a slight edge for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home-field advantage.
Aarhus Fremad vs Horsens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aarhus Fremad played Horsens in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Aarhus Fremad: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Horsens: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aarhus Fremad scores 1.60 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Horsens scores 1.30 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aarhus Fremad 60%, Horsens 45%. Over 2.5: Aarhus Fremad 55%, Horsens 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Aarhus Fremad has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.45. Aarhus Fremad: 14.1 shots per match, Horsens: 12.7.
Match halves
Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.95. Horsens: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Aarhus Fremad: 76-90+ (8 goals). Horsens: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aarhus Fremad presents strong home form with a 40% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per home match. The hosts boast a better goal difference in home games (+8) and a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 9%). Horsens has a solid away defense (0.7 goals conceded on average), but a much weaker offense (1.1 goals per game) and a staggering 40% of matches failing to score. The recent form of both teams is balanced (7 points each from 5 matches), but the hosts' xG advantage (1.55 vs 1.48) and Aarhus's home statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter with a slight edge for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aarhus Fremad | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarhus Fremad is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.4 pts / match - Horsens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.3 goals / match - Horsens
Horsens is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1 goals / match - Horsens
Aarhus Fremad scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Horsens scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aarhus Fremad
Over / Under - Horsens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Horsens is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.7 pts / match - Horsens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Horsens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aarhus Fremad
Horsens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Aarhus Fremad | Liga | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aarhus Fremad 0 - 1 - 0 Horsens. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs Horsens?
The 1st Division match finished Aarhus Fremad 0:0 Horsens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarhus Fremad vs Horsens?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.60 goals per game on average and Horsens 1.30. The 1st Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Aarhus Fremad's matches and 45% of Horsens's.
What form are Aarhus Fremad and Horsens in?
Over the last 5 games Aarhus Fremad have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Horsens 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarhus Fremad vs Horsens?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.