Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF: match statistics

Aarhus Fremad remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws while conceding just 2 goals during that period. However, Kolding IF are highly dangerous when creating chances away from home: they average 19.67 shots, 6.67 shots on target and an xG of 2.00, significantly higher than Aarhus Fremad’s 0.94 xG at home. The visitors’ main issue is their poor finishing, as despite scoring 1.33 goals per away match, they convert just 7% of their shots, while all three of their away fixtures so far have ended in draws. The hosts also have a record of one win, one draw and one loss at home, averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded, which points to a closely contested encounter. Aarhus Fremad’s stronger recent defensive form offsets Kolding’s advantage in the quality of chances created, making a share of the points the most likely outcome.

The BTTS signal is clearly positive: Kolding IF have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches this season, while the figure for Aarhus Fremad stands at 67%. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.67 goals and the visitors 1.33 goals per match. Kolding create plenty of chances, averaging 2.00 xG and 6.67 shots on target, while Aarhus Fremad record 1.53 xG, providing solid grounds for a goal in response. The hosts’ recent form has been more cautious, as they have conceded just 0.4 goals per match across their last five games and BTTS landed in 40% of those fixtures. However, Kolding averaged 2.2 goals scored during this period and BTTS landed in 100% of their appearances. In the league, both teams have scored in 64% of matches, making the scenario in which each side scores at least once the more likely outcome.

The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals, as neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, with both conceding in 100% of their matches. Kolding score an average of 1.33 goals, but the quality of their chances created is clearly higher: their average xG stands at 2.00, alongside 19.67 shots and 6.67 shots on target per match. Aarhus Fremad allow opponents an average of 1.52 xG, while Kolding concede 1.33 goals and 1.31 xG, giving the hosts a realistic chance of scoring. In their last five matches, Kolding scored 2.2 goals per game, while both teams scored in 100% of their matches. The Over 2.5 goals line also has positive arguments, but Aarhus' inconsistent attacking form, with 1.0 goal per match across their last five appearances, makes Over 1.5 the safer choice.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, after which Kolding IF will turn the game in their favour. Aarhus Fremad were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches and did not concede a single first-half goal during that period, which limits the visitors’ chances of taking an early lead. At the same time, Kolding create significantly more chances, averaging 19.67 shots compared with the hosts’ 12.33, while their average xG stands at 2.00 versus Aarhus’ 1.53. After the interval, the visitors’ superiority is particularly evident: they averaged 0.67 goals without conceding any, and collected 2.33 points per match in this phase of play, whereas the hosts managed just 0.33 points and conceded an average of 1.00 goal. The X/2 scenario is also supported by Kolding’s recent attacking form, as they averaged 2.2 goals across their last five matches, although Aarhus’ solid unbeaten run over the same period should also be taken into account.