Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart: match statistics
Aarhus Fremad presents significantly better home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +5. The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match with a 15% conversion rate, whereas Middelfart scores only 0.78 goals on average in away matches, with a poor 8% conversion rate and an alarming rate of 56% matches without scoring a goal. The guests have a disastrous away record with 67% losses, a goal difference of -10, and only 11% wins, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. Aarhus Fremad also dominates in possession (56% vs 43%) and average xG (1.48 vs 1.24), which confirms their qualitative advantage. Considering all statistical indicators, the hosts have a clear edge and should secure three points in this encounter.
Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aarhus Fremad played Middelfart in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Aarhus Fremad: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Middelfart: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aarhus Fremad scores 1.50 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Middelfart scores 1.00 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aarhus Fremad 61%, Middelfart 56%. Over 2.5: Aarhus Fremad 56%, Middelfart 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Aarhus Fremad has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.29. Aarhus Fremad: 13.2 shots per match, Middelfart: 10.6.
Match halves
Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Middelfart: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Aarhus Fremad: 46-60 (6 goals). Middelfart: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aarhus Fremad presents significantly better home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +5. The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match with a 15% conversion rate, whereas Middelfart scores only 0.78 goals on average in away matches, with a poor 8% conversion rate and an alarming rate of 56% matches without scoring a goal. The guests have a disastrous away record with 67% losses, a goal difference of -10, and only 11% wins, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. Aarhus Fremad also dominates in possession (56% vs 43%) and average xG (1.48 vs 1.24), which confirms their qualitative advantage. Considering all statistical indicators, the hosts have a clear edge and should secure three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aarhus Fremad | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Middelfart is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad · 0.8 pts / match - Middelfart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1 goals / match - Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.83 goals / match - Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Middelfart scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aarhus Fremad
Over / Under - Middelfart
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aarhus Fremad is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad · 0.83 pts / match - Middelfart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aarhus Fremad
Middelfart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Aarhus Fremad | Liga | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.80 | • 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aarhus Fremad 0 - 1 - 0 Middelfart. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?
The 1st Division match finished Aarhus Fremad 4:1 Middelfart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.50 goals per game on average and Middelfart 1.00. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Aarhus Fremad's matches and 56% of Middelfart's.
What form are Aarhus Fremad and Middelfart in?
Over the last 5 games Aarhus Fremad have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Middelfart 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.