Aberdeen vs Celtic: match statistics
Celtic clearly surpasses Aberdeen in terms of quality and form. The visitors occupy 3rd place in the table with 50% wins away, while the hosts are placed in 8th position with only 31% wins at home. Aberdeen has a negative record in the last 5 matches (0.8 PPG) and lost 3 of them, while Celtic presents better form (1.4 PPG). The xG statistics show an advantage for the visitors (1.54 xG For vs 1.33 xG Against away), suggesting efficiency in creating chances. Aberdeen also has problems with scoring regularity (31% FTS% at home), while Celtic has scored 51 goals this season. Taking all data into account, Celtic has a clear advantage and should win, although Aberdeen may put up resistance at their own stadium, hence a draw is also in play.
Aberdeen vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aberdeen played Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Aberdeen: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Celtic: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aberdeen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Celtic scores 1.82 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aberdeen 32%, Celtic 50%. Over 2.5: Aberdeen 32%, Celtic 64%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Celtic has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.30. Aberdeen: 11.9 shots per match, Celtic: 17.2.
Match halves
Aberdeen: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.61. Celtic: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Aberdeen: 76-90+ (9 goals). Celtic: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celtic clearly surpasses Aberdeen in terms of quality and form. The visitors occupy 3rd place in the table with 50% wins away, while the hosts are placed in 8th position with only 31% wins at home. Aberdeen has a negative record in the last 5 matches (0.8 PPG) and lost 3 of them, while Celtic presents better form (1.4 PPG). The xG statistics show an advantage for the visitors (1.54 xG For vs 1.33 xG Against away), suggesting efficiency in creating chances. Aberdeen also has problems with scoring regularity (31% FTS% at home), while Celtic has scored 51 goals this season. Taking all data into account, Celtic has a clear advantage and should win, although Aberdeen may put up resistance at their own stadium, hence a draw is also in play.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aberdeen | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celtic is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Aberdeen · 2 pts / match - Celtic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celtic is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.82 goals / match - Celtic
Celtic is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.07 goals / match - Celtic
Aberdeen scores in 50% of matches (14 of 28 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
Celtic scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aberdeen
Over / Under - Celtic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celtic is 104% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Aberdeen · 1.82 pts / match - Celtic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Celtic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aberdeen
Celtic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Aberdeen | Liga | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 50% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aberdeen 0 - 0 - 2 Celtic. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aberdeen vs Celtic?
The Premiership match finished Aberdeen 1:2 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Celtic?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 0, Celtic won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs Celtic?
Aberdeen score 1.00 goals per game on average and Celtic 1.82. The Premiership average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Aberdeen's matches and 50% of Celtic's.
What form are Aberdeen and Celtic in?
Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Celtic 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs Celtic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aberdeen vs Celtic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.