Aberdeen vs Falkirk: match statistics
Aberdeen, despite a poor run of form in their last five games (0 wins), displays much better performances in home fixtures, achieving a 29% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+2). Falkirk struggles significantly away from home, scoring merely 0.86 goals per match with 50% of games without scoring and a negative goal difference (-7). The hosts possess better xG statistics in home games (1.44 vs 1.29) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 7%). The key factor is Aberdeen's home advantage, where they score an average of 1.57 goals, which, combined with Falkirk's weak away defense (1.36 goals conceded), provides a realistic chance for a home victory. However, Aberdeen's poor form in recent weeks and Falkirk's relatively solid form (1.8 PPG) mean that a draw also remains a likely scenario.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aberdeen play Falkirk in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Aberdeen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Falkirk: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aberdeen scores 1.05 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Falkirk scores 1.32 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aberdeen 37%, Falkirk 53%. Over 2.5: Aberdeen 34%, Falkirk 58%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Falkirk has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.24. Aberdeen: 11.3 shots per match, Falkirk: 11.8.
Match halves
Aberdeen: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58. Falkirk: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Aberdeen: 16-30 (10 goals). Falkirk: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Aberdeen, despite a poor run of form in their last five games (0 wins), displays much better performances in home fixtures, achieving a 29% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+2). Falkirk struggles significantly away from home, scoring merely 0.86 goals per match with 50% of games without scoring and a negative goal difference (-7). The hosts possess better xG statistics in home games (1.44 vs 1.29) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 7%). The key factor is Aberdeen's home advantage, where they score an average of 1.57 goals, which, combined with Falkirk's weak away defense (1.36 goals conceded), provides a realistic chance for a home victory. However, Aberdeen's poor form in recent weeks and Falkirk's relatively solid form (1.8 PPG) mean that a draw also remains a likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aberdeen | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aberdeen is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Aberdeen · 0.6 pts / match - Falkirk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Falkirk is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.32 goals / match - Falkirk
Aberdeen is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.63 goals / match - Falkirk
Aberdeen scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Falkirk scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aberdeen
Over / Under — Falkirk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aberdeen is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Aberdeen · 0.95 pts / match - Falkirk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aberdeen
Falkirk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Aberdeen | Liga | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aberdeen 0 - 0 - 2 Falkirk. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
The Premiership match finished Aberdeen 1:1 Falkirk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Falkirk?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 0, Falkirk won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Aberdeen score 1.05 goals per game on average and Falkirk 1.32. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Aberdeen's matches and 53% of Falkirk's.
What form are Aberdeen and Falkirk in?
Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Falkirk 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
The statistical background for Aberdeen vs Falkirk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.