Aberdeen vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aberdeen played Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Aberdeen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hearts: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aberdeen scores 0.73 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Hearts scores 2.42 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.72 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aberdeen 18%, Hearts 50%. Over 2.5: Aberdeen 18%, Hearts 67%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Hearts has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.27. Aberdeen: 12.4 shots per match, Hearts: 15.3.

Match halves

Aberdeen: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.36. Hearts: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.50.

Goals by minute

Aberdeen: 16-30 (3 goals). Hearts: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
AberdeenHearts
6Shots17
AberdeenHearts
2Shots on target4
AberdeenHearts
0.83xG1.66
AberdeenHearts
6Corners3
AberdeenHearts
41Dangerous attacks40
AberdeenHearts
20Fouls15
AberdeenHearts
3Cards4
AberdeenHearts

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.73Goals scored / match2.42
AberdeenHearts
1.09Goals conceded / match0.83
AberdeenHearts
47%Average possession54%
AberdeenHearts
3.45Shots on target / match6.08
AberdeenHearts

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.36Shots per match15.33
AberdeenHearts
3.45Shots on target6.08
AberdeenHearts
5.9%Shot conversion15.8%
AberdeenHearts
47%Possession54%
AberdeenHearts
1.27xG for1.78
AberdeenHearts
1.42xG against1.01
AberdeenHearts

Shooting quality

Aberdeen: BalancedHearts: Attacking
AberdeenHearts
Accuracy (shots on target)28%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hearts is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Aberdeen · 2.2 pts / match - Hearts

Aberdeen
WWLWD
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Hearts
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W25% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-0
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 232% better for: goals scored per match.

0.73 goals / match - Aberdeen · 2.42 goals / match - Hearts

Hearts is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Aberdeen · 0.83 goals / match - Hearts

Aberdeen scoring profile: more difficult

Aberdeen scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

8Goals scored (season)29
AberdeenHearts
12Goals conceded (season)10
AberdeenHearts
1.82Average goals in match3.25
AberdeenHearts
8Goals scored (last 5)13
AberdeenHearts
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
AberdeenHearts

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal100%
AberdeenHearts
9%2 goals83%
AberdeenHearts
9%3 goals50%
AberdeenHearts
9%4 goals8%
AberdeenHearts

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal50%
AberdeenHearts
45%2 goals25%
AberdeenHearts
0%3 goals8%
AberdeenHearts
0%4 goals0%
AberdeenHearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
AberdeenHearts
0%BTTS in both halves8%
AberdeenHearts
9%Scored in both halves67%
AberdeenHearts

BTTS and goal count

9%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
AberdeenHearts
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
AberdeenHearts
40%BTTS - last 560%
AberdeenHearts

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
AberdeenHearts
9%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
AberdeenHearts
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
AberdeenHearts

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
AberdeenHearts
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
AberdeenHearts
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
AberdeenHearts

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Aberdeen · 1.58 pts / match - Hearts

Aberdeen - half-time state
18% leading45% draw36% trailing
Hearts - half-time state
42% leading33% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.58
AberdeenHearts
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.92
AberdeenHearts
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
AberdeenHearts
0.73Average goals (1st half)1.5
AberdeenHearts
64%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AberdeenHearts
82%No goal before half-time25%
AberdeenHearts

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per match (2nd half)2.67
AberdeenHearts
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
AberdeenHearts
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
AberdeenHearts
1.09Average goals (2nd half)1.75
AberdeenHearts
36%Clean sheet after half-time83%
AberdeenHearts
64%No goal after half-time8%
AberdeenHearts

Aberdeen - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hearts - second-half results

83% W17% D0% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aberdeen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+3+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aberdeen
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aberdeen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
49%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
198%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

AberdeenLigaHearts
Average goals in match 1.822.72 3.25
Both teams scored 18%53% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 18%54% 67%
Clean sheets 36%27% 50%
Goal before half-time 55%77% 92%
Goal after half-time 82%84% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AberdeenGoalTopi Keskinen
  2. AberdeenYellow cardMats Knoester
  3. HeartsYellow cardMichael Steinwender
  4. HeartsYellow cardCameron Peter Devlin
  5. HeartsSubstitutionOn: Jamie MccartOff: Stuart Findlay
  6. AberdeenYellow cardNicky Devlin
  7. AberdeenYellow cardGavin Molloy
  8. HeartsYellow cardAlexandros Kyziridis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

David DickinsonMatches officiated: 19
4.95Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 253%Home wins11%Draws37%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Aberdeen 0 - 0 - 1 Hearts. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Heart of Midlothian FC
2 : 0
Aberdeen FC

FAQ

What was the result of Aberdeen vs Hearts?

The Premiership match finished Aberdeen 1:0 Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs Hearts?

Aberdeen score 0.73 goals per game on average and Hearts 2.42. The Premiership average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 18% of Aberdeen's matches and 50% of Hearts's.

What form are Aberdeen and Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hearts 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs Hearts?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.