Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aberdeen played Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 14 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Aberdeen: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Kilmarnock: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aberdeen scores 1.07 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.00 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aberdeen 27%, Kilmarnock 56%. Over 2.5: Aberdeen 27%, Kilmarnock 63%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Aberdeen has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.24. Aberdeen: 13.0 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 10.7.

Match halves

Aberdeen: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

Aberdeen: 16-30 (5 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

68Possession (%)32
AberdeenKilmarnock
21Shots8
AberdeenKilmarnock
8Shots on target5
AberdeenKilmarnock
2.17xG1.07
AberdeenKilmarnock
9Corners3
AberdeenKilmarnock
39Dangerous attacks28
AberdeenKilmarnock
10Fouls14
AberdeenKilmarnock
2Cards5
AberdeenKilmarnock

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.07Goals scored / match1
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.07Goals conceded / match1.88
AberdeenKilmarnock
48%Average possession39%
AberdeenKilmarnock
4Shots on target / match3.81
AberdeenKilmarnock

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match10.69
AberdeenKilmarnock
4Shots on target3.81
AberdeenKilmarnock
8.2%Shot conversion9.4%
AberdeenKilmarnock
48%Possession39%
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.37xG for1.24
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.47xG against1.53
AberdeenKilmarnock

Shooting quality

Aberdeen: BalancedKilmarnock: Balanced
AberdeenKilmarnock
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aberdeen is 450% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Aberdeen · 0.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-6
1.40 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Kilmarnock
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W38% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-8
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aberdeen is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.07 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1 goals / match - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.07 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.88 goals / match - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen scoring profile: strong

Aberdeen scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

Kilmarnock scoring profile: strong

Kilmarnock scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

16Goals scored (season)16
AberdeenKilmarnock
16Goals conceded (season)30
AberdeenKilmarnock
2.13Average goals in match2.88
AberdeenKilmarnock
9Goals scored (last 5)3
AberdeenKilmarnock
5Goals conceded (last 5)12
AberdeenKilmarnock

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal69%
AberdeenKilmarnock
20%2 goals31%
AberdeenKilmarnock
20%3 goals0%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%4 goals0%
AberdeenKilmarnock

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal81%
AberdeenKilmarnock
40%2 goals63%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%3 goals38%
AberdeenKilmarnock
0%4 goals6%
AberdeenKilmarnock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time19%
AberdeenKilmarnock
0%BTTS in both halves6%
AberdeenKilmarnock
13%Scored in both halves19%
AberdeenKilmarnock

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
AberdeenKilmarnock
60%BTTS - last 560%
AberdeenKilmarnock

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
AberdeenKilmarnock
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
AberdeenKilmarnock

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
AberdeenKilmarnock
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
AberdeenKilmarnock

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aberdeen is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Aberdeen · 1.06 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing
Kilmarnock - half-time state
25% leading31% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.06
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.56
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.73Average goals (1st half)1.38
AberdeenKilmarnock
73%Clean sheet before half-time44%
AberdeenKilmarnock
73%No goal before half-time56%
AberdeenKilmarnock

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)0.94
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.5
AberdeenKilmarnock
40%Clean sheet after half-time38%
AberdeenKilmarnock
53%No goal after half-time56%
AberdeenKilmarnock

Aberdeen - second-half results

20% W47% D33% L
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kilmarnock - second-half results

19% W38% D44% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aberdeen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kilmarnock - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aberdeen
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
5
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
4
4
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
3
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
3
6
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.51
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aberdeen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

AberdeenLigaKilmarnock
Average goals in match 2.132.61 2.88
Both teams scored 27%50% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%52% 63%
Clean sheets 40%30% 19%
Goal before half-time 53%75% 81%
Goal after half-time 80%80% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KilmarnockGoalTyreece John-JulesAssist: James Brown
  2. AberdeenSubstitutionOn: Graeme ShinnieOff: Alexander Jensen
  3. KilmarnockYellow cardGeorge Stanger
  4. KilmarnockYellow cardRobbie Deas
  5. KilmarnockYellow cardBradley Lyons
  6. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Greg KiltieOff: Tyreece John-Jules
  7. AberdeenSubstitutionOn: Marko LazetićOff: Dante Polvara
  8. KilmarnockYellow cardJames Brown
  9. AberdeenSubstitutionOn: Kenan BilalovicOff: Topi Keskinen
  10. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Marcus DackersOff: Bruce Anderson
  11. AberdeenYellow cardMarko Lazetić
  12. AberdeenGoalKenan BilalovicAssist: Kevin Nisbet
  13. AberdeenGoalJesper Karlsson
  14. AberdeenYellow cardAdil Aouchiche
  15. KilmarnockYellow cardLiam Polworth

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ross HardieMatches officiated: 8
5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins25%Draws25%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Aberdeen 1 - 0 - 0 Kilmarnock. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Kilmarnock FC
0 : 1
Aberdeen FC

FAQ

What was the result of Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

The Premiership match finished Aberdeen 2:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Aberdeen score 1.07 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Aberdeen's matches and 56% of Kilmarnock's.

What form are Aberdeen and Kilmarnock in?

Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Kilmarnock 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.