Aberdeen vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Aberdeen vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aberdeen played St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 12 May 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Aberdeen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. St. Mirren: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aberdeen scores 1.06 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. St. Mirren scores 0.75 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aberdeen 36%, St. Mirren 36%. Over 2.5: Aberdeen 33%, St. Mirren 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
St. Mirren has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.25. Aberdeen: 11.4 shots per match, St. Mirren: 11.8.
Match halves
Aberdeen: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.61. St. Mirren: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Aberdeen: 61-75 (10 goals). St. Mirren: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aberdeen holds a clear advantage at home in chance quality and finishing efficiency: on average 1.56 goals per game, 4.61 shots on target and a 12% conversion rate, while St. Mirren away averages 0.94 goals, 3.22 shots on target and an 8% conversion. Form differential is significant — Aberdeen scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches with a 3-1-1 record (averaging 2 points per game), whereas St. Mirren are 0-0-5 with just 2 goals and 0 points in their last 5. Defensively the hosts are superior: Aberdeen concedes 1.17 goals at home and keep clean sheets in 33% of matches, while St. Mirren concede 1.83 away and have 0% clean sheets; in the last 5 games the visitors shipped 13 goals vs. 4 conceded by Aberdeen. xG and chance volume corroborate Aberdeen’s advantage — average xG for the home side is 1.44 vs 1.30 xG for St. Mirren on the road, with xG conceded 1.39 vs 1.54; additionally average shots 12.72 vs 11.28 and a higher shots-on-target rate (4.61 vs 3.22) favor the hosts. Considering superior finishing efficiency, a lower share of goalless matches (22% vs 39%) and the visitors’ poor run (13 goals conceded in 5), I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the 'no' scenario: Aberdeen at home have a season BTTS rate of only 11% and keep a clean sheet in 44% of matches, while St. Mirren on the road, despite a season BTTS of 61%, are in poor form. In their last 5 matches St. Mirren scored only 2 goals (0.4 per game) and conceded 13 (2.6 per game), which strongly limits their ability to finish chances. Aberdeen in their last 5 matches scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and conceded 4 (0.8 per game), and their average home xG is 1.40 versus the average xG that St. Mirren typically allow away, 1.54, suggesting the hosts will have opportunities but not necessarily that both sides will find the net. Additionally, Aberdeen have only 6% of home matches with Over2.5 combined with BTTS, compared to 44% of such games for St. Mirren away, so historical signals are mixed, but the home defensive edge and St. Mirren's poor attacking form in the last 5 games support a 'no' selection with assigned probabilities 70% (no) vs 30% (yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects total expected goals of 2.79 (Aberdeen ≈1.47 with xG 1.4 vs St. Mirren xG against 1.54; St. Mirren ≈1.32 with xG 1.3 vs Aberdeen xG against 1.33). With a mean of 2.79, a Poisson distribution yields roughly a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals and about a 53% probability of Over 2.5 goals, which is close to the league average of 2.75 goals. Additionally, Aberdeen have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, while St. Mirren have conceded 13 in their last 5 and have a 0% away clean sheet rate (seasonCSPercentage_away = 0.0), increasing the likelihood of goals. Seasonal indicators show Aberdeen home matches finish Over 1.5 goals in 50% of cases and St. Mirren away matches in 83%, so the strongest data signal supports Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Recent form and statistics favor Aberdeen: in the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 80% of games (4 of 5) and scored on average 0.8 goals before half-time, while St. Mirren failed to score by half-time in those five matches (0.0). Over the season at home Aberdeen has 72% clean halves at the break and averages 0.28 goals before half-time, whereas St. Mirren concedes on average 0.78 goals by the break and leads at half-time in only 6% of matches. In full matches Aberdeen has averaged 2.2 goals and 2.0 points per game in the last 5 meetings, while St. Mirren has 0.4 goals and 0.0 points, which increases the likelihood that a lead at the break will translate into a home victory. Additionally, the home xG is 1.4 versus 1.3 for the visitors, and average shots on target are 3.78 vs 3.22, confirming the superiority in quality of chances; therefore the strongest signal is 1/1 (Aberdeen leading at half-time and winning Full-Time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aberdeen | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aberdeen is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Aberdeen · 0.6 pts / match - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aberdeen is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Aberdeen · 0.75 goals / match - St. Mirren
Aberdeen is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.5 goals / match - St. Mirren
Aberdeen scores in 58% of matches (21 of 36 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
St. Mirren scores in 50% of matches (18 of 36 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aberdeen
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aberdeen is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Aberdeen · 0.92 pts / match - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aberdeen
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Aberdeen | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 51% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aberdeen 1 - 1 - 1 St. Mirren. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Aberdeen 0:2 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and St. Mirren?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 1, St. Mirren won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?
Aberdeen score 1.06 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.75. The Premiership average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Aberdeen's matches and 36% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Aberdeen and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and St. Mirren 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?
The statistical background for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.