Abha vs Al Hazm: match statistics

Abha rank 1st in the home standings, while Al Hazm sit 7th in the away table, giving the hosts a significant home-advantage edge. In their last five matches, Abha recorded 2 wins and scored 6 goals—one more than Al Hazm, who won just once. However, neither defence has been reliable: Abha conceded 10 goals during this period, compared with 8 for Al Hazm, making goals at both ends a realistic possibility. The hosts have a slightly better points return from their last five matches, averaging 1.2 points per game compared with the visitors’ 1.0, while Al Hazm drew 2 of those 5 fixtures. Abha’s superior league position and marginally better attacking output point towards a narrow home win, although their defensive weaknesses clearly increase the risk of a draw.

Abha’s last five matches produced BTTS in 60% of cases, while Al Hazm’s rate stands at 40%, providing a moderately positive signal for both teams to score. Abha averaged 1.2 goals during this period, and Al Hazm 1.0, while both defences conceded significantly more: 2.0 and 1.6 goals per match, respectively. The hosts created an average of 1.85 xG, and the visitors 1.40 xG, meaning each team had the potential to create enough chances to score. Particularly important is the fact that Abha allowed opponents 1.59 xG per match, while Al Hazm allowed 1.36 xG, weakening the case for either side to keep a clean sheet. However, the BTTS pick is only moderately strong, as Al Hazm scored just 5 goals in total across their last five matches.

The available data from the last 5 matches points to an open profile for both teams: Abha conceded an average of 2.0 goals, while Al Hazm conceded 1.6 goals per game. Abha scored 1.2 goals during this period, with an xG of 1.85, whereas Al Hazm averaged 1.0 goal, generating an xG of 1.40. The visitors’ attacking potential is further boosted by the fact that Abha’s defense allowed chances worth an average of 1.59 xG, while Al Hazm face an opponent with an xG against of 1.36. At least 3 goals were scored in 3 of Abha’s last 5 matches, and the teams conceded as many as 18 goals in 10 games overall. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected 2.95 goals and both sides’ weak defensive averages clearly reduce the likelihood of a one-goal-or-fewer scenario.

Both teams tend to start cautiously and lack efficiency: in their last five matches, each averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time, while the average number of first-half goals stood at 1.4. Al Hazm were level at the break in 40% of those matches, whereas Abha led after 45 minutes in only 20%, reinforcing the scenario of an undecided start. After the interval, the visitors have the better points record, averaging 1.4 points per match compared with Abha’s 1.0, and concede only 0.6 goals on average, compared with the hosts’ 1.0 goals conceded. Abha conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match in their last five appearances, while Al Hazm conceded 1.6; therefore, with the score level at half-time, an away win at the final whistle appears marginally more likely.