Abha vs Al Raed: match statistics
Abha is presenting impressive form, topping the table with a record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss this season. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring 9 goals while conceding just 4. Their home efficiency is formidable—a 63% win rate, averaging 2.25 goals scored per match, and a loss rate of only 13%. Conversely, Al Raed is experiencing a slump, earning just 0.8 points per game in their last five outings with a record of 1 win and 3 losses. On the road, the visitors win only 29% of their matches, conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game with a negative goal difference (-1). The disparity in form, league standing, and the hosts' home dominance versus the visitors' poor away results clearly indicates an advantage for Abha. Considering all parameters, a home victory is the most likely outcome.
Abha vs Al Raed: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Abha played Al Raed in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Abha: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Al Raed: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Abha scores 2.19 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Al Raed scores 1.69 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Abha 56%, Al Raed 69%. Over 2.5: Abha 63%, Al Raed 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Al Raed has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.51. Abha: 12.6 shots per match, Al Raed: 14.1.
Match halves
Abha: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.38. Al Raed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Abha: 46-60 (10 goals). Al Raed: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Abha is presenting impressive form, topping the table with a record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss this season. The hosts are in excellent condition, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring 9 goals while conceding just 4. Their home efficiency is formidable—a 63% win rate, averaging 2.25 goals scored per match, and a loss rate of only 13%. Conversely, Al Raed is experiencing a slump, earning just 0.8 points per game in their last five outings with a record of 1 win and 3 losses. On the road, the visitors win only 29% of their matches, conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game with a negative goal difference (-1). The disparity in form, league standing, and the hosts' home dominance versus the visitors' poor away results clearly indicates an advantage for Abha. Considering all parameters, a home victory is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Abha | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Abha is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Abha · 0.8 pts / match - Al Raed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Abha is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
2.19 goals / match - Abha · 1.69 goals / match - Al Raed
Abha is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Abha · 1.5 goals / match - Al Raed
Abha scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Al Raed keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Al Raed scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Abha keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abha
Over / Under - Al Raed
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abha is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / match - Abha · 1.38 pts / match - Al Raed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Raed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Abha
Al Raed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Abha | Liga | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.70 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Abha vs Al Raed?
The First Division match finished Abha 2:1 Al Raed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abha vs Al Raed?
Abha score 2.19 goals per game on average and Al Raed 1.69. The First Division average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Abha's matches and 69% of Al Raed's.
What form are Abha and Al Raed in?
Over the last 5 games Abha have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Al Raed 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abha vs Al Raed?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.