Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance: match statistics
Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Abia Warriors played Bendel Insurance in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: Umuahia Township Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Abia Warriors: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bendel Insurance: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Abia Warriors scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Bendel Insurance scores 1.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Abia Warriors 20%, Bendel Insurance 80%. Over 2.5: Abia Warriors 40%, Bendel Insurance 80%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Bendel Insurance has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.04. Abia Warriors: 2.4 shots per match, Bendel Insurance: 2.6.
Match halves
Abia Warriors: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60. Bendel Insurance: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Abia Warriors: 76-90+ (3 goals). Bendel Insurance: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Abia Warriors remain unbeaten at home, although both of their home matches so far have ended in draws, with an average of 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per game. Bendel Insurance have lost both away fixtures, averaging just 0.5 goals scored, while failing to keep a single clean sheet and conceding 1.5 goals per match. The visitors sit slightly higher in the table, in 6th place compared with 9th, and have scored 8 goals in their last five appearances against 5 for the hosts. However, their run of two consecutive away defeats clearly limits their chances of winning. A closely contested, low-scoring match is expected, with Abia Warriors’ more solid home performances likely to be enough to secure at least a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is moderately positive: Abia Warriors recorded BTTS in 100% of their home matches, while Bendel Insurance did so in 50% of their away fixtures. In their last five matches, Bendel Insurance registered BTTS in as many as 80% of cases, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.4, whereas Abia Warriors averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. The home side are particularly strong offensively on their own ground, averaging 3.0 goals scored, while the visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet away from home and concede an average of 1.5 goals there. The main risk to this pick is Bendel Insurance's weaker attacking efficiency on the road, where they score an average of only 0.5 goals, although Abia Warriors' defence regularly allows opponents to create chances. Therefore, a scenario with goals from both teams is more likely, although the edge over BTTS - No is not substantial.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Abia Warriors’ last five matches produced an average of 2.6 goals, with 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the same period, Bendel Insurance averaged 3.0 total goals, although their seasonal away average stands at just 0.5 goals scored. The visitors create an average of 1.15 xG, while their average over the last five appearances has fallen to 0.65 xG, limiting the prospects of a very high-scoring game. The 2.5 line is evenly balanced, as both teams went Over it in 60% of their last five matches, but only Abia Warriors recorded more than 3.5 goals in 50% of their home games, while Bendel Insurance failed to surpass that mark even once. The projected total of 2.35 goals therefore points to a clear preference for the Under 3.5 goals market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw followed by an Abia Warriors win is the most likely outcome, as Bendel Insurance were level at the break in 100% of their away matches so far, failing to score in any of them. The hosts were level at half-time in 50% of their home fixtures, but scored an average of 1.5 goals after the interval and did not lose a single second half. Abia Warriors won 100% of their home matches and averaged 3.0 goals there, while Bendel Insurance lost all of their away games, scoring only 0.5 goals per match. The last five matches suggest a cautious start, with both teams level at half-time in 60% of cases, but home advantage and the hosts’ superior second-half efficiency support the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Abia Warriors | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 15% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 4.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bendel Insurance is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Abia Warriors · 1.8 pts / match - Bendel Insurance
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bendel Insurance is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 1.8 goals / match - Bendel Insurance
Bendel Insurance is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 1.4 goals / match - Bendel Insurance
Abia Warriors scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Bendel Insurance keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Bendel Insurance scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
Over / Under - Bendel Insurance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bendel Insurance is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Abia Warriors · 1.4 pts / match - Bendel Insurance
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bendel Insurance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Abia Warriors
Bendel Insurance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Abia Warriors | Liga | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 51% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 76% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Abia Warriors 0 - 1 - 1 Bendel Insurance. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?
The NPFL match finished Abia Warriors 3:0 Bendel Insurance. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Abia Warriors and Bendel Insurance?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Abia Warriors won 0, Bendel Insurance won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?
Abia Warriors score 0.80 goals per game on average and Bendel Insurance 1.80. The NPFL average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Abia Warriors's matches and 80% of Bendel Insurance's.
What form are Abia Warriors and Bendel Insurance in?
Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bendel Insurance 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.