Nigeria - NPFLUmuahia Township StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Abia Warriors play Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Umuahia Township Stadium.

Current form

Abia Warriors: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Niger Tornadoes: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Abia Warriors scores 1.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Niger Tornadoes scores 0.89 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.39 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Abia Warriors 33%, Niger Tornadoes 44%. Over 2.5: Abia Warriors 44%, Niger Tornadoes 33%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.17. Abia Warriors: 3.3 shots per match, Niger Tornadoes: 10.2.

Match halves

Abia Warriors: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56. Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Abia Warriors: 76-90+ (3 goals). Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1Goals scored / match0.89
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1.33Goals conceded / match0.89
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
19%Average possession42%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1.67Shots on target / match3.56
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.33Shots per match10.22
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1.67Shots on target3.56
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
30%Shot conversion8.7%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
19%Possession42%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1.17xG for1.85
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1.42xG against1.44
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

Shooting quality

Abia Warriors: Counter-attackingNiger Tornadoes: Balanced
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
Accuracy (shots on target)50%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.350.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.600.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Niger Tornadoes is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Abia Warriors · 1.6 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes

Abia Warriors
LWLDD
Season result split
22% W44% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 at home
1-3-0
DDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Niger Tornadoes
DLWDW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-3
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Abia Warriors is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 0.89 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes

Niger Tornadoes is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 0.89 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes

Abia Warriors scoring profile: mixed

Abia Warriors scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: mixed

Niger Tornadoes scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

9Goals scored (season)8
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
12Goals conceded (season)8
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
2.33Average goals in match1.78
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal56%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
33%2 goals33%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
11%3 goals0%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
0%4 goals0%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal67%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
44%2 goals11%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
22%3 goals11%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
11%4 goals0%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time0%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
11%Scored in both halves22%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
40%BTTS - last 520%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Niger Tornadoes is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Abia Warriors · 1 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes

Abia Warriors - half-time state
11% leading33% draw56% trailing
Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
22% leading33% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.22
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1.22Average goals (1st half)0.78
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
44%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
78%No goal before half-time78%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes
56%No goal after half-time44%
Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

Abia Warriors - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Abia Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.40.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Abia Warriors
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
5
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Abia Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
180%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.96
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
63% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
63%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Abia WarriorsLigaNiger Tornadoes
Average goals in match• 2.332.39▼ 1.78
Both teams scored▼ 33%45%• 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 44%41%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 44%34%• 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%70%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time• 67%68%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.39
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
0.74
Away goals / match
+123%
Home attack advantage
+55%
Home defence advantage
+50%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Abia Warriors 2 - 0 - 0 Niger Tornadoes. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Abia Warriors
2 : 1
Niger Tornadoes
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 2
Abia Warriors

FAQ

When do Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes play?

Abia Warriors face Niger Tornadoes on 25 October 2026 in NPFL at Umuahia Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Abia Warriors won 2, Niger Tornadoes won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

Abia Warriors score 1.00 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 0.89. The NPFL average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Abia Warriors's matches and 44% of Niger Tornadoes's.

What form are Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes in?

Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

The statistical background for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.