Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
Abia Warriors display impressive home form with 50% wins at home and only 7% losses, making them a difficult opponent on their own ground. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG For: 1.63 vs xG Against: 1.12) and keep a clean sheet in 71% of home matches, indicating a solid defense. Shooting Stars struggle with significant problems in away matches - only 14% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference of -14. The visitors fail to score in 64% of away matches, and their form in the last five away fixtures is catastrophic. Considering the xG statistics, the hosts' ball possession advantage, and the disparity in effectiveness between both teams, Abia Warriors have a clear advantage, although Shooting Stars may put up resistance, which justifies the relatively high probability of a draw.
Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Abia Warriors played Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Abia Warriors: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Shooting Stars: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Abia Warriors scores 0.79 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Shooting Stars scores 1.00 and concedes 1.04. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Abia Warriors 25%, Shooting Stars 37%. Over 2.5: Abia Warriors 11%, Shooting Stars 30%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.35. Abia Warriors: 5.8 shots per match, Shooting Stars: 6.9.
Match halves
Abia Warriors: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.39. Shooting Stars: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Abia Warriors: 16-30 (5 goals). Shooting Stars: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Abia Warriors display impressive home form with 50% wins at home and only 7% losses, making them a difficult opponent on their own ground. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG For: 1.63 vs xG Against: 1.12) and keep a clean sheet in 71% of home matches, indicating a solid defense. Shooting Stars struggle with significant problems in away matches - only 14% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference of -14. The visitors fail to score in 64% of away matches, and their form in the last five away fixtures is catastrophic. Considering the xG statistics, the hosts' ball possession advantage, and the disparity in effectiveness between both teams, Abia Warriors have a clear advantage, although Shooting Stars may put up resistance, which justifies the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Abia Warriors | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Abia Warriors · 1.2 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 1 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Abia Warriors is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 1.04 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Abia Warriors scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Shooting Stars scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Abia Warriors
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Abia Warriors | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 1.84 | ▲ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 36% | • 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 60% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Abia Warriors 0 - 0 - 1 Shooting Stars. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished Abia Warriors 2:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
Abia Warriors score 0.79 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.00. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Abia Warriors's matches and 37% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are Abia Warriors and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shooting Stars 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.