Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petroleum: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested match between two top-half teams. Abu Qair Semad boasts a solid home record with 50% wins and only 25% losses, yet their recent form is concerning, yielding just 1 point per match in their last 5 outings. Asyut Petroleum is in better shape (1.6 PPG) and holds an impressive 56% away win rate with only 11% losses. A key factor is the visitors' clinical finishing—16% shot conversion versus 8% for the hosts—which demonstrates greater efficiency despite a lower average xG (0.99 vs 1.67). Both sides are characterized by a low average of total goals per match (1.75 for the hosts, 1.67 for the visitors), suggesting a tactical, cautious approach. Given the hosts' dipping form, the visitors' solid defense (56% clean sheets away), and the evenly matched potential of both squads, a draw stands out as the most probable outcome.
Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petroleum: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Abu Qair Semad played Asyut Petroleum in Second Division (Egypt). The match was played on 15 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Abu Qair Semad: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Asyut Petroleum: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Abu Qair Semad scores 1.28 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Asyut Petroleum scores 1.06 and concedes 0.72. League average: 1.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Abu Qair Semad 44%, Asyut Petroleum 28%. Over 2.5: Abu Qair Semad 39%, Asyut Petroleum 33%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Abu Qair Semad has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.19. Abu Qair Semad: 7.0 shots per match, Asyut Petroleum: 6.4.
Match halves
Abu Qair Semad: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.72. Asyut Petroleum: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Abu Qair Semad: 0-15 (6 goals). Asyut Petroleum: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested match between two top-half teams. Abu Qair Semad boasts a solid home record with 50% wins and only 25% losses, yet their recent form is concerning, yielding just 1 point per match in their last 5 outings. Asyut Petroleum is in better shape (1.6 PPG) and holds an impressive 56% away win rate with only 11% losses. A key factor is the visitors' clinical finishing—16% shot conversion versus 8% for the hosts—which demonstrates greater efficiency despite a lower average xG (0.99 vs 1.67). Both sides are characterized by a low average of total goals per match (1.75 for the hosts, 1.67 for the visitors), suggesting a tactical, cautious approach. Given the hosts' dipping form, the visitors' solid defense (56% clean sheets away), and the evenly matched potential of both squads, a draw stands out as the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Abu Qair Semad | Asyut Petroleum | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Asyut Petroleum is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Abu Qair Semad · 2.2 pts / match - Asyut Petroleum
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Abu Qair Semad is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Abu Qair Semad · 1.06 goals / match - Asyut Petroleum
Asyut Petroleum is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Abu Qair Semad · 0.72 goals / match - Asyut Petroleum
Abu Qair Semad scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Asyut Petroleum keeps a clean sheet in 61% (11 of 18 matches).
Asyut Petroleum scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Abu Qair Semad keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abu Qair Semad
Over / Under - Asyut Petroleum
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Asyut Petroleum is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Abu Qair Semad · 1.39 pts / match - Asyut Petroleum
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abu Qair Semad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Asyut Petroleum - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Abu Qair Semad
Asyut Petroleum
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Abu Qair Semad | Liga | Asyut Petroleum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.11 | 1.91 | ▼ 1.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 39% | 38% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Abu Qair Semad 0 - 1 - 0 Asyut Petroleum. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petroleum?
The Second Division match finished Abu Qair Semad 1:0 Asyut Petroleum. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petroleum?
Abu Qair Semad score 1.28 goals per game on average and Asyut Petroleum 1.06. The Second Division average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Abu Qair Semad's matches and 28% of Asyut Petroleum's.
What form are Abu Qair Semad and Asyut Petroleum in?
Over the last 5 games Abu Qair Semad have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Asyut Petroleum 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petroleum?
The statistical background for Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petroleum — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.