AC Milan vs Atalanta: match statistics
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AC Milan vs Atalanta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AC Milan play Atalanta in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Current form
AC Milan: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Atalanta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AC Milan scores 1.83 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AC Milan 67%, Atalanta 67%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 50%, Atalanta 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.43. AC Milan: 12.5 shots per match, Atalanta: 13.5.
Match halves
AC Milan: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.67. Atalanta: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
AC Milan: 61-75 (9 goals). Atalanta: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AC Milan is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.2 pts / match - Atalanta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.33 goals / match - Atalanta
AC Milan is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.33 goals / match - Atalanta
AC Milan scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Atalanta scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AC Milan
Over / Under - Atalanta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atalanta is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.5 pts / match - Atalanta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AC Milan
Atalanta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 21% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AC Milan 0 - 1 - 1 Atalanta. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do AC Milan and Atalanta play?
AC Milan face Atalanta on 18 October 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Atalanta?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AC Milan won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Atalanta?
AC Milan score 1.83 goals per game on average and Atalanta 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of AC Milan's matches and 67% of Atalanta's.
What form are AC Milan and Atalanta in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Atalanta 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Atalanta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AC Milan vs Atalanta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.