AC Milan vs Hellas Verona: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AC Milan played Hellas Verona in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 28 December 2025. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

AC Milan: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Hellas Verona: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

AC Milan scores 1.60 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Hellas Verona scores 0.87 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AC Milan 53%, Hellas Verona 60%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 53%, Hellas Verona 53%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

AC Milan has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.37. AC Milan: 13.5 shots per match, Hellas Verona: 12.2.

Match halves

AC Milan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.87. Hellas Verona: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

AC Milan: 31-45+ (5 goals). Hellas Verona: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
AC MilanHellas Verona
11Shots9
AC MilanHellas Verona
5Shots on target1
AC MilanHellas Verona
1.27xG0.92
AC MilanHellas Verona
7Corners3
AC MilanHellas Verona
30Dangerous attacks38
AC MilanHellas Verona
5Fouls15
AC MilanHellas Verona
0Cards1
AC MilanHellas Verona

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AC MilanHellas Verona
1.6Goals scored / match0.87
AC MilanHellas Verona
0.87Goals conceded / match1.47
AC MilanHellas Verona
51%Average possession39%
AC MilanHellas Verona
4.73Shots on target / match4.73
AC MilanHellas Verona

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.53Shots per match12.2
AC MilanHellas Verona
4.73Shots on target4.73
AC MilanHellas Verona
11.8%Shot conversion7.1%
AC MilanHellas Verona
51%Possession39%
AC MilanHellas Verona
1.51xG for1.37
AC MilanHellas Verona
1.28xG against1.45
AC MilanHellas Verona

Shooting quality

AC Milan: BalancedHellas Verona: Balanced
AC MilanHellas Verona
Accuracy (shots on target)35%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AC Milan is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.4 pts / match - Hellas Verona

AC Milan
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W33% D7% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-1
2.13 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Hellas Verona
DLLWW
Season result split
13% W40% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-7
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 84% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - AC Milan · 0.87 goals / match - Hellas Verona

AC Milan is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.87 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.47 goals / match - Hellas Verona

AC Milan scoring profile: very strong

AC Milan scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Hellas Verona keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).

Hellas Verona scoring profile: mixed

Hellas Verona scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).

24Goals scored (season)13
AC MilanHellas Verona
13Goals conceded (season)22
AC MilanHellas Verona
2.47Average goals in match2.33
AC MilanHellas Verona
9Goals scored (last 5)7
AC MilanHellas Verona
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
AC MilanHellas Verona

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal60%
AC MilanHellas Verona
53%2 goals20%
AC MilanHellas Verona
13%3 goals7%
AC MilanHellas Verona
0%4 goals0%
AC MilanHellas Verona

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal80%
AC MilanHellas Verona
33%2 goals47%
AC MilanHellas Verona
0%3 goals13%
AC MilanHellas Verona
0%4 goals7%
AC MilanHellas Verona

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time27%
AC MilanHellas Verona
7%BTTS in both halves0%
AC MilanHellas Verona
27%Scored in both halves20%
AC MilanHellas Verona

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
AC MilanHellas Verona
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
AC MilanHellas Verona
60%BTTS - last 580%
AC MilanHellas Verona

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AC MilanHellas Verona
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
AC MilanHellas Verona
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
AC MilanHellas Verona

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
AC MilanHellas Verona
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
AC MilanHellas Verona
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
AC MilanHellas Verona

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AC Milan is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.2 pts / match - Hellas Verona

AC Milan - half-time state
33% leading60% draw7% trailing
Hellas Verona - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)1.2
AC MilanHellas Verona
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.53
AC MilanHellas Verona
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
AC MilanHellas Verona
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.13
AC MilanHellas Verona
67%Clean sheet before half-time53%
AC MilanHellas Verona
40%No goal before half-time53%
AC MilanHellas Verona

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)0.53
AC MilanHellas Verona
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
AC MilanHellas Verona
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
AC MilanHellas Verona
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.2
AC MilanHellas Verona
60%Clean sheet after half-time27%
AC MilanHellas Verona
40%No goal after half-time67%
AC MilanHellas Verona

AC Milan - second-half results

47% W27% D27% L
24
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding182%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hellas Verona - second-half results

0% W53% D47% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding65%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AC Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hellas Verona - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Hellas Verona
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
1
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Hellas Verona

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AC MilanLigaHellas Verona
Average goals in match 2.472.34 2.33
Both teams scored 53%47% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%44% 53%
Clean sheets 47%32% 20%
Goal before half-time 60%63% 67%
Goal after half-time 80%75% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AC MilanGoalChristopher Nkunku
  2. AC MilanGoalChristopher Nkunku
  3. Hellas VeronaSubstitutionOn: Nicolás ValentiniOff: Domagoj Bradarić
  4. AC MilanSubstitutionOn: Ardon JasariOff: Luka Modrić
  5. AC MilanSubstitutionOn: Youssouf FofanaOff: Ruben Ira Loftus-Cheek
  6. Hellas VeronaSubstitutionOn: Suat SerdarOff: Daniel Oyegoke
  7. AC MilanSubstitutionOn: David Uyoyo OdoguOff: Fikayo Tomori

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Michael FabbriMatches officiated: 15
4.2Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 247%Home wins33%Draws20%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of AC Milan vs Hellas Verona?

The Serie A match finished AC Milan 3:0 Hellas Verona. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Hellas Verona?

AC Milan score 1.60 goals per game on average and Hellas Verona 0.87. The Serie A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of AC Milan's matches and 60% of Hellas Verona's.

What form are AC Milan and Hellas Verona in?

Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Hellas Verona 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Hellas Verona?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.