AC Milan vs Lazio: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AC Milan played Lazio in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

AC Milan: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Lazio: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

AC Milan scores 1.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Lazio scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AC Milan 50%, Lazio 8%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 50%, Lazio 25%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

AC Milan has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.26. AC Milan: 13.1 shots per match, Lazio: 10.9.

Match halves

AC Milan: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.75. Lazio: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

AC Milan: 0-15 (4 goals). Lazio: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
AC MilanLazio
16Shots9
AC MilanLazio
4Shots on target4
AC MilanLazio
1.57xG1.13
AC MilanLazio
1Corners4
AC MilanLazio
38Dangerous attacks38
AC MilanLazio
10Fouls12
AC MilanLazio
3Cards3
AC MilanLazio

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match1.25
AC MilanLazio
0.75Goals conceded / match0.75
AC MilanLazio
50%Average possession51%
AC MilanLazio
4.67Shots on target / match4.08
AC MilanLazio

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.08Shots per match10.92
AC MilanLazio
4.67Shots on target4.08
AC MilanLazio
11.5%Shot conversion11.5%
AC MilanLazio
50%Possession51%
AC MilanLazio
1.47xG for1.26
AC MilanLazio
1.34xG against1.44
AC MilanLazio

Shooting quality

AC Milan: BalancedLazio: Balanced
AC MilanLazio
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lazio is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 2 pts / match - Lazio

AC Milan
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
58% W33% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-1
2.08 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Lazio
WDWLW
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.25 goals / match - Lazio

AC Milan scoring profile: strong

AC Milan scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Lazio keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).

Lazio scoring profile: mixed

Lazio scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).

18Goals scored (season)15
AC MilanLazio
9Goals conceded (season)9
AC MilanLazio
2.25Average goals in match2
AC MilanLazio
7Goals scored (last 5)5
AC MilanLazio
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
AC MilanLazio

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal50%
AC MilanLazio
50%2 goals42%
AC MilanLazio
8%3 goals25%
AC MilanLazio
0%4 goals8%
AC MilanLazio

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal42%
AC MilanLazio
25%2 goals25%
AC MilanLazio
0%3 goals8%
AC MilanLazio
0%4 goals0%
AC MilanLazio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time8%
AC MilanLazio
0%BTTS in both halves8%
AC MilanLazio
17%Scored in both halves33%
AC MilanLazio

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS8%
AC MilanLazio
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
AC MilanLazio
60%BTTS - last 50%
AC MilanLazio

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
AC MilanLazio
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
AC MilanLazio
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
AC MilanLazio

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
AC MilanLazio
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
AC MilanLazio
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
AC MilanLazio

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AC Milan is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.67 pts / match - Lazio

AC Milan - half-time state
42% leading58% draw0% trailing
Lazio - half-time state
42% leading42% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per match (1st half)1.67
AC MilanLazio
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.75
AC MilanLazio
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
AC MilanLazio
1Average goals (1st half)1
AC MilanLazio
75%Clean sheet before half-time75%
AC MilanLazio
42%No goal before half-time58%
AC MilanLazio

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.33
AC MilanLazio
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
AC MilanLazio
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AC MilanLazio
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1
AC MilanLazio
58%Clean sheet after half-time67%
AC MilanLazio
50%No goal after half-time58%
AC MilanLazio

AC Milan - second-half results

42% W25% D33% L
22
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lazio - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AC Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Lazio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Lazio
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Lazio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AC MilanLigaLazio
Average goals in match 2.252.33 2.00
Both teams scored 50%48% 8%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%44% 25%
Clean sheets 50%33% 58%
Goal before half-time 58%65% 58%
Goal after half-time 75%72% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AC MilanYellow cardFikayo Tomori
  2. LazioYellow cardLuca Pellegrini
  3. AC MilanYellow cardMatteo Gabbia
  4. AC MilanSubstitutionOn: Ruben Ira Loftus-CheekOff: Youssouf Fofana
  5. LazioYellow cardAlessio Romagnoli
  6. AC MilanSubstitutionOn: Samuele RicciOff: Christopher Nkunku
  7. AC MilanYellow cardSamuele Ricci
  8. LazioYellow cardMattia Zaccagni

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Giuseppe ColluMatches officiated: 12
4.42Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins17%Draws42%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of AC Milan vs Lazio?

The Serie A match finished AC Milan 1:0 Lazio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Lazio?

AC Milan score 1.50 goals per game on average and Lazio 1.25. The Serie A average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of AC Milan's matches and 8% of Lazio's.

What form are AC Milan and Lazio in?

Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Lazio 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Lazio?

The statistical background for AC Milan vs Lazio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.