AC Milan vs Parma: match statistics
AC Milan displays significantly higher form and quality of play compared to Parma. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins and just 1 defeat, while Parma sits in 12th position with a negative goal difference. In home matches, Milan wins 58% of the time, maintaining an average of 1.5 goals scored per game and just 0.83 goals conceded, which indicates a solid defense. Parma performs poorly away from home – they win only 33% of matches, fail to score in half of their games (FTS% 50%), and average just 0.67 goals per game. Milan's advantage in possession (54% vs 44%), shot accuracy, and xG statistics (1.77 vs 1.14) further confirm their dominance. The recent form of both teams (Milan: W D W W D vs Parma: D L L W W) also favors the hosts, who are the clear favorites for this match.
AC Milan vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AC Milan played Parma in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AC Milan: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Parma: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AC Milan scores 1.64 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Parma scores 0.72 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AC Milan 56%, Parma 40%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 48%, Parma 36%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AC Milan has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.23. AC Milan: 13.0 shots per match, Parma: 11.6.
Match halves
AC Milan: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.00. Parma: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
AC Milan: 46-60 (10 goals). Parma: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AC Milan displays significantly higher form and quality of play compared to Parma. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins and just 1 defeat, while Parma sits in 12th position with a negative goal difference. In home matches, Milan wins 58% of the time, maintaining an average of 1.5 goals scored per game and just 0.83 goals conceded, which indicates a solid defense. Parma performs poorly away from home – they win only 33% of matches, fail to score in half of their games (FTS% 50%), and average just 0.67 goals per game. Milan's advantage in possession (54% vs 44%), shot accuracy, and xG statistics (1.77 vs 1.14) further confirm their dominance. The recent form of both teams (Milan: W D W W D vs Parma: D L L W W) also favors the hosts, who are the clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AC Milan is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.4 pts / match - Parma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 128% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - AC Milan · 0.72 goals / match - Parma
AC Milan is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.24 goals / match - Parma
AC Milan scores in 96% of matches (24 of 25 matches), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Parma scores in 52% of matches (13 of 25 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AC Milan
Over / Under - Parma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - AC Milan · 0.92 pts / match - Parma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Parma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AC Milan
Parma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.43 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 32% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AC Milan 0 - 1 - 0 Parma. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AC Milan vs Parma?
The Serie A match finished AC Milan 0:1 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Parma?
AC Milan score 1.64 goals per game on average and Parma 0.72. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of AC Milan's matches and 40% of Parma's.
What form are AC Milan and Parma in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Parma 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Parma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.