AC Milan vs Torino: match statistics
AC Milan demonstrates significantly higher form and potential than Torino. The hosts are in 2nd place in the table with 17 wins, while Torino sits in 14th position with just 9 wins this season. In home matches, Milan shows impressive efficiency - a 57% win rate, averaging 1.36 goals per game and failing to score in only 7% of their matches. Torino performs poorly away from home - only a 21% win rate, a 50% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -14. They concede an average of 1.93 goals on the road, and in 43% of matches they fail to score. Furthermore, Milan's advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.21) and possession (53% vs 42%) confirms their dominance. Considering all statistics, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
AC Milan vs Torino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AC Milan play Torino in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
AC Milan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Torino: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AC Milan scores 1.39 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Torino scores 1.16 and concedes 1.66. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Torino 50%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 45%, Torino 63%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AC Milan has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.29. AC Milan: 13.2 shots per match, Torino: 11.8.
Match halves
AC Milan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87. Torino: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Torino: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
AC Milan demonstrates significantly higher form and potential than Torino. The hosts are in 2nd place in the table with 17 wins, while Torino sits in 14th position with just 9 wins this season. In home matches, Milan shows impressive efficiency - a 57% win rate, averaging 1.36 goals per game and failing to score in only 7% of their matches. Torino performs poorly away from home - only a 21% win rate, a 50% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -14. They concede an average of 1.93 goals on the road, and in 43% of matches they fail to score. Furthermore, Milan's advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.21) and possession (53% vs 42%) confirms their dominance. Considering all statistics, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Torino is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 1 pts / match - Torino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.16 goals / match - Torino
AC Milan is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.66 goals / match - Torino
AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Torino keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Torino scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AC Milan
Over / Under — Torino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.34 pts / match - AC Milan · 0.97 pts / match - Torino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Torino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AC Milan
Torino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Torino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.43 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AC Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Torino. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AC Milan vs Torino?
The Serie A match finished AC Milan 3:2 Torino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Torino?
AC Milan score 1.39 goals per game on average and Torino 1.16. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of AC Milan's matches and 50% of Torino's.
What form are AC Milan and Torino in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Torino 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Torino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.