AC Milan vs Udinese: match statistics
AC Milan vs Udinese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AC Milan play Udinese in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
AC Milan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Udinese: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AC Milan scores 1.39 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Udinese scores 1.18 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Udinese 45%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 45%, Udinese 45%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AC Milan has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.28. AC Milan: 13.2 shots per match, Udinese: 11.6.
Match halves
AC Milan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87. Udinese: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Udinese: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
AC Milan is the favorite: they sit 3rd and have scored 47 goals while conceding 24 (goal difference +23), whereas Udinese are 11th with a 35-42 record (difference -7). At home Milan averages 1.47 goals and xG 1.76 with 16.13 shots and 5.13 on target per match, while Udinese away average 1.27 goals and xG 1.10 with 9.87 shots and 3.33 on target — despite Udinese’s higher shot accuracy (13% vs 9%), the superiority in chance volume favors Milan. Defensively the hosts also look stronger: Milan concede 0.87 goals at home on average and have 40% clean sheets, while Udinese concede 1.53 goals away and have only 20% clean sheets; Udinese’s away loss rate is 47% versus Milan’s 13% home loss rate. In the last 5 matches Milan are 3 wins and 2 losses with a goal tally of 6-4, and Udinese 2-2-1 with a 7-3 record, which shows the visitors can score but their superior finishing may not be enough against Milan’s higher quality of chances. Based on xG (1.76 vs 1.10), shot volume (16.13 vs 9.87) and the hosts’ stronger defense (0.87 vs 1.53), I predict an AC Milan win (1) with probabilities: 65% win, 20% draw, 15% Udinese win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Udinese is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.4 pts / match - Udinese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.18 goals / match - Udinese
AC Milan is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.26 goals / match - Udinese
AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Udinese keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Udinese scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AC Milan
Over / Under — Udinese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Udinese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AC Milan
Udinese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.43 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AC Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Udinese. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AC Milan vs Udinese?
The Serie A match finished AC Milan 0:3 Udinese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Udinese?
AC Milan score 1.39 goals per game on average and Udinese 1.18. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of AC Milan's matches and 45% of Udinese's.
What form are AC Milan and Udinese in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Udinese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Udinese?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.