Acassuso vs Estudiantes Caseros: match statistics
Acassuso vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Acassuso played Estudiantes Caseros in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Acassuso: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Estudiantes Caseros: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Acassuso scores 0.89 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.56 and concedes 0.89. League average: 1.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Acassuso 11%, Estudiantes Caseros 0%. Over 2.5: Acassuso 33%, Estudiantes Caseros 22%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Acassuso has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.04. Acassuso: 7.9 shots per match, Estudiantes Caseros: 7.8.
Match halves
Acassuso: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.11.
Goals by minute
Acassuso: 31-45+ (3 goals). Estudiantes Caseros: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.81 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Acassuso creates more chances at home: on average 1.25 goals per match, 4.5 shots on target, 10.75 shots per match and xG 1.42 with 53% possession, indicating the ability to generate opportunities. Despite that, the hosts haven’t scored in their last 5 matches, have only 0.2 points per match in that period and conceded 7 goals, which points to significant finishing issues. Estudiantes Caseros away posts lower seasonal offensive numbers (0.8 goals per match, 3.0 shots on target, xG 1.04), but in the last 5 fixtures they have scored 5 goals, won 3 matches and average 2.0 PPG with only 3 goals conceded. The visitors’ key advantage is current form and recent efficiency (3 wins in 5, PPG 2.0), while Acassuso’s strength is clearly superior chance-creation at home; the hosts’ problem is conversion — 50% of home matches without a goal. Considering Acassuso’s zero goals in the last five and Estudiantes’ form advantage, I favor the away win (approx. 50%) with the hosts at 30% and the draw 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 0% and 0% in the last 5 matches, which is the strongest signal against Goal/Goal. Acassuso averages just 0.25 goals per match this season, while Estudiantes Caseros averages 0.8; in the last 5 matches Acassuso scored 0 goals versus 5 for Estudiantes, so the realistic probability that the home side will also score is low. Although both teams record xG of 1.04, the hosts have a conversion rate of only 3.0% versus 10.0% for the visitors, indicating significant inefficiency from Acassuso despite similar xG. Additionally, Acassuso have a 50% clean sheet rate, Estudiantes 40%, and the league clean sheet environment is 81% with a league BTTS of 37%, so the league context favors No Goal. For these reasons I rate 'No' as the stronger signal (80%) versus 20% for 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project around 1.50 total goals in the match (expected_goals_home 0.45 vs expected_goals_away 1.05) based on xG and team form. Both sides have similar xG_for = 1.04, but Acassuso averages only 0.25 goals at home with a shot conversion of 3.0%, while Estudiantes averages 0.8 goals away with a 10.0% conversion and has scored 5 goals in the last 5 matches. Acassuso have failed to score in their last 5 home matches (gf_last5_home=0) and had last5 xG against = 2.0 (ga_l5_home=7), whereas Estudiantes has last5_xG_for=1.08 and ga_l5_away=3, giving the visitors an offensive edge but not guaranteeing a high-scoring game. Season percentages show 0% Over 2.5 for Acassuso and 40% for Estudiantes, and only 25%/40% Over 1.5 respectively; with my 1.50 goals projection I estimate P(Over 2.5) ≈19% and P(Under 2.5) ≈81%. Strongest signal is Under 2.5 (pick: 'under' line 2.5), supported by 50% clean sheets for Acassuso at home, 81% clean sheets in the league and 0% BTTS for both teams, all increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics favor Estudiantes: in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and averaged 0.8 goals by half-time across those five, while Acassuso had 0% leads and 0.0 half-time goals in their last 5. On a season basis Estudiantes score on average 0.6 goals in the first half versus 0.25 for Acassuso, and have a season-long goals-per-game average of 1.8 compared to the hosts' 1.0. Despite equal xG (1.04 vs 1.04), Estudiantes convert chances better (conversion rate 10% vs 3%) and register more shots on target (3.0 vs 2.5), increasing the likelihood that a lead at the break will translate into a win. Considering form (last 5: Acassuso 'llldl', 0% wins; Estudiantes 'lwwwd', 60% wins), the most likely scenario is Estudiantes leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT = 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Acassuso | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes Caseros is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Acassuso · 2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Acassuso is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Acassuso · 0.56 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Estudiantes Caseros is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Acassuso · 0.89 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Acassuso scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while Acassuso keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Acassuso
Over / Under - Estudiantes Caseros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Acassuso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Acassuso
Estudiantes Caseros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Acassuso | Liga | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.81 | ▼ 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 11% | 36% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 69% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Acassuso vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Acassuso 0:1 Estudiantes Caseros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Acassuso vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Acassuso score 0.89 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Caseros 0.56. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 11% of Acassuso's matches and 0% of Estudiantes Caseros's.
What form are Acassuso and Estudiantes Caseros in?
Over the last 5 games Acassuso have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Estudiantes Caseros 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Acassuso vs Estudiantes Caseros?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.