Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town: match statistics
Accrington Stanley are in significantly better form, having earned 10 points from their last 5 matches (2 PPG) compared to just 3 points for Cheltenham Town (0.6 PPG). The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 46% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), while the visitors concede an average of 2.23 goals away and have a dismal -17 goal difference in away matches. Cheltenham have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding as many as 10 goals, which highlights serious defensive issues. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.58 vs 1.14), and their recent home form (WWLDW) provides a solid basis for predicting a victory. Taking all factors into account, Accrington Stanley hold a clear advantage and should secure all three points.
Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Accrington Stanley played Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Accrington Stanley: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cheltenham Town: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Accrington Stanley scores 1.15 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Cheltenham Town scores 0.96 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Accrington Stanley 44%, Cheltenham Town 41%. Over 2.5: Accrington Stanley 33%, Cheltenham Town 41%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.15. Accrington Stanley: 12.8 shots per match, Cheltenham Town: 9.9.
Match halves
Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.63. Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (8 goals). Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Accrington Stanley are in significantly better form, having earned 10 points from their last 5 matches (2 PPG) compared to just 3 points for Cheltenham Town (0.6 PPG). The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 46% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), while the visitors concede an average of 2.23 goals away and have a dismal -17 goal difference in away matches. Cheltenham have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding as many as 10 goals, which highlights serious defensive issues. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.58 vs 1.14), and their recent home form (WWLDW) provides a solid basis for predicting a victory. Taking all factors into account, Accrington Stanley hold a clear advantage and should secure all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Accrington Stanley | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Accrington Stanley is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 0.6 pts / match - Cheltenham Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Accrington Stanley is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 0.96 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Accrington Stanley is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.67 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Accrington Stanley scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Cheltenham Town scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Accrington Stanley
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 0.96 pts / match - Cheltenham Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Accrington Stanley
Cheltenham Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Accrington Stanley | Liga | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.61 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Accrington Stanley 0 - 0 - 1 Cheltenham Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Accrington Stanley 3:1 Cheltenham Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?
Accrington Stanley score 1.15 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 0.96. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Accrington Stanley's matches and 41% of Cheltenham Town's.
What form are Accrington Stanley and Cheltenham Town in?
Over the last 5 games Accrington Stanley have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?
The statistical background for Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.