Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town: match statistics
Accrington Stanley are in significantly better form, having earned 10 points from their last 5 matches (2 PPG) compared to just 3 points for Cheltenham Town (0.6 PPG). The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 46% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), while the visitors concede an average of 2.23 goals away and have a dismal -17 goal difference in away matches. Cheltenham have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding as many as 10 goals, which highlights serious defensive issues. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.58 vs 1.14), and their recent home form (WWLDW) provides a solid basis for predicting a victory. Taking all factors into account, Accrington Stanley hold a clear advantage and should secure all three points.
Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Accrington Stanley play Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 31 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Accrington Stanley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Cheltenham Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Accrington Stanley scores 1.02 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Cheltenham Town scores 1.15 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Accrington Stanley 41%, Cheltenham Town 52%. Over 2.5: Accrington Stanley 37%, Cheltenham Town 48%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.16. Accrington Stanley: 11.7 shots per match, Cheltenham Town: 10.3.
Match halves
Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.54. Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (9 goals). Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Accrington Stanley are in significantly better form, having earned 10 points from their last 5 matches (2 PPG) compared to just 3 points for Cheltenham Town (0.6 PPG). The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 46% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), while the visitors concede an average of 2.23 goals away and have a dismal -17 goal difference in away matches. Cheltenham have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding as many as 10 goals, which highlights serious defensive issues. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.58 vs 1.14), and their recent home form (WWLDW) provides a solid basis for predicting a victory. Taking all factors into account, Accrington Stanley hold a clear advantage and should secure all three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Accrington Stanley | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cheltenham Town is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cheltenham Town is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.02 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.15 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Accrington Stanley is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.72 goals / match - Cheltenham Town
Accrington Stanley scores in 61% of matches (28 of 46 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
Cheltenham Town scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Accrington Stanley
Over / Under — Cheltenham Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 0.83 pts / match - Cheltenham Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Accrington Stanley
Cheltenham Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Accrington Stanley | Liga | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Accrington Stanley 0 - 0 - 1 Cheltenham Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Accrington Stanley 3:1 Cheltenham Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?
Accrington Stanley score 1.02 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 1.15. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Accrington Stanley's matches and 52% of Cheltenham Town's.
What form are Accrington Stanley and Cheltenham Town in?
Over the last 5 games Accrington Stanley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?
The statistical background for Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.