Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Accrington Stanley played Harrogate Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Accrington Stanley: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Harrogate Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Accrington Stanley scores 1.14 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Harrogate Town scores 0.82 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Accrington Stanley 50%, Harrogate Town 45%. Over 2.5: Accrington Stanley 36%, Harrogate Town 36%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.11. Accrington Stanley: 12.4 shots per match, Harrogate Town: 9.7.

Match halves

Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.59. Harrogate Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (7 goals). Harrogate Town: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
25Shots8
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
8Shots on target3
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
2.63xG0.91
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
8Corners3
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
68Dangerous attacks24
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
10Fouls9
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
1Cards2
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
1.14Goals scored / match0.82
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
1.18Goals conceded / match1.64
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
48%Average possession47%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
3.95Shots on target / match3.09
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.45Shots per match9.68
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
3.95Shots on target3.09
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
9.1%Shot conversion8.5%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
48%Possession47%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
1.39xG for1.11
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
1.31xG against1.75
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

Shooting quality

Accrington Stanley: BalancedHarrogate Town: Balanced
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Accrington Stanley is 350% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 0.4 pts / match - Harrogate Town

Accrington Stanley
WWLLW
Season result split
32% W27% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-9
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Harrogate Town
DLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W23% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-13
0.77 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Accrington Stanley is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 0.82 goals / match - Harrogate Town

Accrington Stanley is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.64 goals / match - Harrogate Town

Accrington Stanley scoring profile: very strong

Accrington Stanley scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).

Harrogate Town scoring profile: strong

Harrogate Town scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

25Goals scored (season)18
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
26Goals conceded (season)36
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
2.32Average goals in match2.45
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal64%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
27%2 goals14%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
14%3 goals5%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
5%4 goals0%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal82%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
32%2 goals50%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
9%3 goals27%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
0%4 goals5%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Accrington Stanley - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 22 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
27%Scored in both halves5%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
20%BTTS - last 540%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Accrington Stanley is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 0.82 pts / match - Harrogate Town

Accrington Stanley - half-time state
45% leading23% draw32% trailing
Harrogate Town - half-time state
14% leading41% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)0.82
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.32
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.77
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.09
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
59%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
50%No goal before half-time68%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)0.91
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.36
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
50%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town
55%No goal after half-time64%
Accrington StanleyHarrogate Town

Accrington Stanley - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding71%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Harrogate Town - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Accrington Stanley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Harrogate Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Accrington Stanley
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
6
6
16-30
3
4
31-45
0
4
46-60
7
7
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Harrogate Town
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
7
16-30
1
6
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
8
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Accrington Stanley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Harrogate Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Accrington StanleyLigaHarrogate Town
Average goals in match 2.322.65 2.45
Both teams scored 50%56% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%48% 36%
Clean sheets 23%25% 18%
Goal before half-time 82%71% 73%
Goal after half-time 73%75% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Accrington StanleySubstitutionOn: Séamus ConneelyOff: Conor Grant
  2. Accrington StanleyGoalShaun James Whalley
  3. Harrogate TownRed cardJacob Slater
  4. Accrington StanleySubstitutionOn: Josh WoodsOff: Charlie Caton
  5. Harrogate TownSubstitutionOn: Lewis Graham CassOff: Zico Asare
  6. Accrington StanleySubstitutionOn: Freddie SassOff: Séamus Conneely
  7. Accrington StanleyYellow cardDonald Love

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Accrington Stanley 1 - 0 - 0 Harrogate Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Accrington Stanley 1:0 Harrogate Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town?

Accrington Stanley score 1.14 goals per game on average and Harrogate Town 0.82. The EFL League Two average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Accrington Stanley's matches and 45% of Harrogate Town's.

What form are Accrington Stanley and Harrogate Town in?

Over the last 5 games Accrington Stanley have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Harrogate Town 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.